Analysts nailed it: Skubal's 2025 dominance fulfills MLB.com predictions

Building on trade rumors from the MLB Winter Meetings, Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal validated pre-season forecasts by MLB.com analysts in 2025, leading the AL in ERA (2.21) and winning his second straight Cy Young Award. With 2026 as his final year under team control, the Tigers must weigh extension, trade, or contention plans.

Tarik Skubal's 2025 season exceeded expectations, confirming MLB.com analysts' bold pre-campaign prediction that he would lead the American League in ERA and capture the Cy Young Award. His 2.21 ERA improved on 2024's league-leading 2.39, marking the first back-to-back AL ERA titles since Pedro Martinez in 2002-03—the same pitcher now drawing comparisons to Skubal's rare streak of consecutive Cy Youngs.

This elite performance, detailed amid earlier Winter Meetings trade buzz, intensifies focus on Skubal's future. Entering 2026 with one year of control left, the Tigers face pivotal choices: pursue a massive extension, trade for prospects, or ride him toward a World Series push. Fan interest has surged with Detroit's back-to-back promising campaigns, but roster gaps remain.

As speculation persists—linking teams like the Dodgers and Mets—Skubal's trajectory hints at another dominant year if he stays, contingent on front-office moves this offseason.

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Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal throwing a pitch in a game, symbolizing ongoing MLB trade debates.
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MLB executives debate Tigers' trade plans for Tarik Skubal

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Tarik Skubal, the Detroit Tigers' ace and favorite for a second straight American League Cy Young Award, has become a focal point at the GM Meetings in Las Vegas. Executives believe the Tigers are unlikely to trade him this offseason despite his final year of team control in 2026. Interest remains high from teams like the New York Mets seeking a top starter.

Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal became a focal point at the MLB Winter Meetings in Orlando, with reports suggesting a trade is likely due to his impending free agency. The two-time Cy Young winner has one year left of team control, and the Tigers face decisions on whether to trade him or retain him for a potential 2026 contention push. While some insiders predict a deal with teams like the Dodgers or Mets, others believe no team will meet Detroit's high asking price.

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Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal won his second consecutive American League Cy Young Award, while Pittsburgh Pirates phenom Paul Skenes earned the National League honor unanimously. Skubal edged out Boston's Garrett Crochet and Houston's Hunter Brown in AL voting, as Skenes topped Philadelphia's Cristopher Sánchez and Los Angeles' Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the NL. The awards were announced Wednesday on MLB Network.

As the 2026 MLB season begins, several prominent players face crucial contract years that could shape their free-agent futures. Standouts include pitchers like Tarik Skubal and Chris Sale, alongside position players such as Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Trent Grisham, all aiming to build on recent performances.

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MLB.com writer Anthony Castrovince has released his way-too-early predictions for the 2026 Baseball Writers’ Association of America awards, avoiding repeats and obvious favorites. Among the picks, Detroit Tigers prospect Kevin McGonigle is tabbed for American League Rookie of the Year, while former Tiger Don Kelly earns a nod for National League Manager of the Year with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

MLB Pipeline has identified a standout breakout prospect from each of the 30 Major League Baseball organizations following the 2025 Minor League season. These selections recognize players who exceeded expectations with strong performances across various levels. The review comes after awards were announced on the MiLB Awards Show in September.

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Detroit Tigers' top prospect Kevin McGonigle has been tipped by MLB.com's Anthony Castrovince as a strong candidate for American League Rookie of the Year in 2026. The infielder impressed in the minors last year with standout hitting stats and multiple awards. His potential MLB debut could come sooner if opportunities arise on the big-league roster.

 

 

 

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