The Atlanta Hawks aim to extend their four-game winning streak against the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. Milwaukee, coming off three straight losses, hosts the matchup at Fiserv Forum with Giannis Antetokounmpo returning from injury. SportsLine's projection model simulates a high-scoring affair exceeding the total.
The Atlanta Hawks (31-31) enter their Wednesday game against the Milwaukee Bucks (26-34) on a four-game winning streak, their most recent a 135-101 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. The Bucks, mired in a three-game skid, fell 108-81 to the Boston Celtics on Monday. This Eastern Conference contest, with tipoff at 9:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee, carries postseason implications as the Bucks trail the Hawks by four games for the final Play-In Tournament spot despite their sub-.500 record.
Injuries could impact both sides: Milwaukee's Kevin Porter Jr. is out with a knee issue, while Atlanta's Jonathan Kuminga is questionable due to a knee injury. The Hawks are 17-15 on the road this season, and the Bucks are 14-15 at home.
SportsLine's Projection Model, which simulates games 10,000 times, predicts the total points to go over the 232.5 line set by DraftKings Sportsbook. The model projects a combined 234 points, with the over hitting in two of the past three head-to-head matchups, Atlanta's last game, and three of Milwaukee's previous five. Atlanta is 5-5 against the spread in its last 10 games, while Milwaukee stands at 5-4 in its last nine.
For key players, the model forecasts Giannis Antetokounmpo to score 29.6 points after his return from a month-long calf injury, where he tallied 19 points on 18 shots in 25 minutes against the Celtics. Antetokounmpo averages 27.7 points per game this season and exceeded 25 points in all four games against Atlanta last year, including three 30-point outings. On the Hawks' side, Jalen Johnson is projected for 19.6 points, with six Atlanta players expected to score at least 10.2 points and seven Bucks players at least 12.9 points.
The Bucks are 1.5-point favorites in the odds, with moneyline at -115 for Milwaukee and -104 for Atlanta.