Building on expert predictions for the 2025 NFL Christmas Day games, here are updated team records, trends, and stats highlighting playoff stakes for the Lions and Broncos in the Cowboys-Commanders, Lions-Vikings, and Broncos-Chiefs matchups, streaming on Netflix and Prime Video.
The holiday slate starts with eliminated 6-8-1 Dallas Cowboys at 4-11 Washington Commanders (1 p.m. ET, Netflix). After a 44-22 Cowboys win on Oct. 19, Washington turns to backup QB Josh Johnson amid injuries to its starter and Marcus Mariota.
Pivotal for Detroit: 8-7 Lions (two straight losses) at 7-8 Vikings (4:30 p.m. ET, Netflix). Lions (9-1 ATS in last 10 vs. Minnesota, NFL-low 8 giveaways) must win out and root for Packers losses. Vikings (three-game win streak, eliminated) start rookie Max Brosmer for injured J.J. McCarthy; defense has zero passing TDs allowed in six games, recent shutouts/FGs only. Justin Jefferson: 85 yards last win. Lions favored by 7.5 (O/U 43.5), models project 46 points.
Nightcap: 12-3 Broncos at 6-9 Chiefs (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video). Denver clinches AFC No. 1 seed with win; Chiefs start backup Chris Oladokun sans Patrick Mahomes. Broncos -13.5 favorites.
Local CBS/NBC available; third straight near-Christmas with three games.