June inflation at 1.9% consolidates downward trend

June's inflation figure of 1.9% strengthens expectations of a sustained slowdown, according to economist Pablo Das Neves.

Economist Pablo Das Neves noted that inflation deceleration shows signs of consolidation after three consecutive months of declines. He highlighted that core inflation came in below the general index and that food prices continue on a downward path.

Das Neves explained that regulated prices, especially in services, still influence the index. He also mentioned that clothing recorded only a 0.4% increase in June due to greater competition from imports.

Regarding the international context, the economist indicated that oil prices are already factored into market expectations. The combination of fiscal and monetary policies helps keep monetary aggregates under control.

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Illustration of central bank analysts reviewing inflation and exchange rate forecasts.
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Central Bank projects 2.3% inflation for May and dollar at 1,422 in June

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The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

Two Argentine consultancies calculated that June inflation stood between 1.8% and 1.9%, below the 2% monthly threshold.

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The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses reported the consumer price index at 2.6% for April, the lowest reading in ten months.

A preliminary calculation from Statistics Sweden shows inflation measured by KPIF fell to 1.3 percent in June. The figure is down from 1.5 percent in May. Experts assess that the change will not affect mortgage rates.

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Statistics South Africa data released on 17 June 2026 showed consumer food price inflation slowing to 1.6% in May, the lowest level in 17 months.

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