Over 21% of gas consumed in January was imported

In January 2026, imported gas accounted for 21% of total consumption in Colombia, according to Upme data. This figure highlights the rising trend in imports due to declining local reserves, as warned by Naturgas, which forecasts 26% by year's end.

Colombia's energy sector is seeing a rise in natural gas imports, driven by a 64% drop in proven reserves over the past 13 years, according to Sergio Cabrales, a professor at Universidad de los Andes. Domestic supply has declined from over 1,000 gigas BTU per day in previous years to 667 Gbtud in 2026, increasing reliance on foreign supplies.

In January 2026, imported gas met 21% of total consumption, up three percentage points from 18% in January 2025. Cabrales notes that this pushes up supply costs, affecting user tariffs and posing risks to energy security.

On the demand side, industrial users have shifted to alternative energy sources due to price and availability issues, curbing gas consumption. Thermoelectric demand is also at lows, thanks to high hydroelectric reservoir levels averaging 77.97% as of February 15. Seven reservoirs exceed 90%, including Urrá, Ituango, and Calima, which are near 99%, aided by unusual rainfall from a cold front.

Naturgas had previously warned that imports could reach 26% of consumption by the end of 2026, given the local supply shortage.

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Dramatic illustration of power lines blocked at Colombia-Ecuador border due to export suspension over tariffs.
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Colombia suspends electricity exports to Ecuador over tariffs

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Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy published Resolution 40064 on January 22, 2026, suspending international electricity transactions with Ecuador in response to President Daniel Noboa's 30% tariffs. The measure takes effect from 6 PM that day and prioritizes national supply. Ecuador claims it has sufficient capacity to meet its energy demand without imports.

The Colombian government has acknowledged a natural gas deficit, requiring imports since last December to meet essential demand. This has led to higher prices for imported gas, passed on to users via tariff hikes. Officials are announcing measures to curb the effects.

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The National Association of Public Services and Communications Companies (Andesco) and the Regional Center for Energy Studies (Cree) released a study revealing a 39% probability of a natural gas supply deficit in Colombia by 2026. The report highlights a medium thermal demand scenario that could rise to 58% in 2027, with average volumes of 117 Gbtud and 129 Gbtud respectively. Both organizations warn of the absence of a clear regulatory framework posing risks to the energy sector.

Colombia's Ministry of Commerce published a draft decree to raise import tariffs on vehicles and motorcycles powered by gasoline or diesel engines, aiming to promote clean technologies and bolster the national industry. The proposal sets 40% for cars and 35% for motorcycles, but guilds like Asopartes and Andemos warn it will raise prices and halt the sector's recovery in 2025.

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Ecuador's President Daniel Noboa announced a 30% security tariff on imports from Colombia, effective February 1, 2026, citing a lack of cooperation in border control against narcotrafficking and illegal mining. The measure has drawn immediate backlash from Colombian business groups and the government, who view it as a breach of the Andean Community of Nations (CAN) agreements. It is expected to significantly impact bilateral trade, worth billions of dollars annually.

Colombia's gross domestic product grew 3.6% in the third quarter of 2025, exceeding market expectations and marking the strongest expansion since 2022. The result was mainly driven by public spending and sectors such as commerce and public administration. However, activities like mining and construction showed contractions.

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Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy issued a resolution to cut gasoline prices by $500 per gallon starting February 1, 2026, while diesel remains stable. The measure aims to address the deficit in the Fuel Price Stabilization Fund (Fepc). Minister Edwin Palma countered criticisms on the inherited debt, stating that the $70 billion figure represents cumulative payments over six years.

 

 

 

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