Illustration of strengthening Rupiah amid tax revenue optimism, featuring Finance Minister and rising currency charts in Jakarta's financial hub.
Illustration of strengthening Rupiah amid tax revenue optimism, featuring Finance Minister and rising currency charts in Jakarta's financial hub.
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Rupiah strengthens on 2026 tax revenue optimism

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened in Tuesday morning trading, boosted by Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa's optimism about 2026 tax revenue exceeding targets. January tax realizations surged 30.8 percent year-on-year, while the Consumer Confidence Index rose to its highest level in a year. This comes amid fluctuations in the domestic stock market, which opened slightly weaker.

On Tuesday, February 10, 2026, the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar showed strength in early trading. According to Bank Indonesia's Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate (Jisdor) data, the rate stood at Rp16,838 per US dollar on Monday, February 9, up 49 points from Rp16,887 the previous Friday. In the spot market until 09:01 WIB, the rupiah traded at Rp16,796 per US dollar, rising 9 points or 0.05 percent from Rp16,805.

This strengthening aligns with Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa's optimism regarding 2026 tax revenue. He predicts the Rp2,357.7 trillion target in the state budget could be exceeded, despite the low 2025 realization of Rp1,917.6 trillion, resulting in a Rp271.7 trillion shortfall. Thus, the required annual growth is 22.9 percent to chase an additional Rp440.1 trillion.

Economist observer Ibrahim Assuaibi stated, "This is estimated by him despite the low growth base of tax revenue last year, which has also drawn attention from foreign rating agencies." This optimism is supported by January 2026 tax realizations surging 30.8 percent year-on-year.

Additionally, the Consumer Confidence Index (IKK) rose 3.5 points to 127 in January 2026, the highest level since January 2025 (127.2). With a reference of 100, the IKK indicates an optimistic zone that can predict increased household consumption.

Meanwhile, the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened slightly weaker at 8,031.58, down 0.29 points or 0.01 percent from the previous close at 8,031.87. Analysts predict a limited correction, influenced by the postponement of the FTSE Russell index review for March 2026, which creates psychological pressure in the market.

Hvad folk siger

Discussions on X primarily from news outlets highlight Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa's optimism for exceeding 2026 tax revenue targets and ambitious tax ratio goals of 11-12%, with efforts like audits and anti-collusion measures; limited user opinions note rupiah's slight strengthening and calls for sustained growth.

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Trading floor in Jakarta celebrates Rupiah strengthening to Rp16,762/USD amid BPS trade surplus data.
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Rupiah strengthens after BPS report on 2025 trade surplus

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened at the opening of trading on Tuesday morning, February 3, 2026, reaching around Rp16.762 per dollar, up 36 points or 0.21 percent from the previous day. This strengthening was influenced by the release of data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) recording Indonesia's trade surplus for 2025 at US$41.05 billion. Additionally, January 2026 monthly inflation recorded a deflation of 0.15 percent, although annually it reached 3.55 percent.

The rupiah exchange rate weakened toward Rp 17,000 per US dollar on January 21, 2026, driven by global and domestic pressures. Economist Josua Pardede stressed the need for fiscal policy certainty to restore market confidence. Meanwhile, the IHSG opened lower amid rising external risks.

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened at the market open in Jakarta on Thursday (January 29, 2026), reaching around Rp16,752-Rp16,771 per dollar. This decline occurred despite issues of US government intervention in the Federal Reserve and positive market response to continued domestic stimulus programs. Analysts predict limited strengthening potential due to global and domestic factors.

The rupiah exchange rate strengthened at the opening of trading on Monday (February 23, 2026) to Rp16,868 per US dollar, influenced by the US Supreme Court's decision to annul parts of Donald Trump's tariff policies. Additionally, a new trade agreement between Indonesia and the US supported this strengthening. Analysts predict fluctuations will continue in the currency market.

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Bank Indonesia (BI) reveals that the rupiah's weakening against the US dollar stems from global pressures, including geopolitical escalation and US President Donald Trump's tariff threats related to Iran. The rupiah closed at 16,860 per US dollar on January 13, 2026, depreciating 1.04 percent year-to-date. BI reaffirms its commitment to maintaining stability through market interventions.

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) rose 0.65 percent or 55 points to 8,604.59 at the end of the first trading session on Tuesday, December 2, 2025. The gain was driven by surges in the industrial and cyclical sectors, while the rupiah strengthened against the US dollar amid optimism over a potential Federal Reserve rate cut.

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The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened higher on Tuesday (February 24, 2026) amid solid January tax receipt data. Analysts predict limited upside potential to 8,450, though correction risks persist. Strong domestic consumption supports positive sentiment.

 

 

 

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