The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday evening in their last matchup before the 2026 NBA All-Star Game. Both teams are dealing with key injuries, including absences of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Oklahoma City enters as a heavy favorite at home.
The Milwaukee Bucks (22-30), fourth in the Central Division with a 10-18 road record, travel to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13), who lead the Northwest Division and boast a 22-5 home record. This game tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, and will be streamed on Prime Video.
Milwaukee comes off a 116-108 victory at Orlando on Wednesday, while Oklahoma City routed Phoenix 136-109 that night. The all-time series stands tied at 77-77, though the Thunder have won the last four encounters.
Injuries will significantly impact both sides. For the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo is out with a calf injury, and Ryan Rollins is sidelined by a foot issue. The Thunder will miss Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdomen), Jalen Williams (hamstring), and Ajay Mitchell (abdomen). Without their star, Oklahoma City is 3-2 in five games, including two wins by at least 27 points and an average victory margin of 24 points in those triumphs. Milwaukee is 4-4 without Antetokounmpo but just 1-3 against teams above .500.
Betting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook list the Thunder as 11.5-point favorites, down from an opening of -13.5, with a total of 213.5 points. The moneyline has Oklahoma City at -510 and Milwaukee at +386. The SportsLine Projection Model, after 10,000 simulations, leans under on the total, noting the under has hit in three of the last four head-to-head games and two of Milwaukee's last three. It projects Cameron Thomas to lead the Bucks with 19.7 points, while Chet Holmgren matches that for Oklahoma City, with six Thunder players expected to score 11 or more.
Against the spread, the Bucks are 4-6 over their last 10 games, while the Thunder are 4-5-1 in theirs. The model projects Oklahoma City to cover in 64% of simulations.
