Vietnam's cryptocurrency boom turns to bust

Vietnam's vibrant cryptocurrency market, once a leader in adoption, is now reeling from a sharp downturn in digital asset prices. With bitcoin's value nearly halved since its October peak, many investors and startups face significant losses amid regulatory uncertainties. The sector, which attracted 17 million owners, highlights the risks of speculation in a legally gray area.

In Hanoi, 23-year-old Hoang Le, a computer science student, exemplifies the volatility of Vietnam's crypto scene. He began trading from his university dorm, influenced by friends profiting from gaming-related investments. His holdings once reached US$200,000—equivalent to about 50 times the average annual income—but plummeted to zero as bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies crashed in recent months. "Getting wiped out hurt a lot," Le said, viewing the experience as "tuition fees." He reflected, "When profits were high, everyone became greedy... it was too good to be true."

Vietnam, a nation of 100 million with a young, upwardly mobile population, has fostered widespread crypto adoption. An estimated 17 million people own digital assets, placing the country behind only India, the US, and Pakistan according to a Chainalysis Inc report from last year. Unlike China, which banned cryptocurrencies, Vietnam has permitted blockchain development in a legal gray area, prohibiting use for payments but allowing speculation.

The market's enthusiasm has soured into a "crypto winter." Bitcoin's price has almost halved from its record high above US$126,000 in October last year, with other tokens falling further. This has devastated startups offering NFTs, blockchain lending, and trading services, leading to bankruptcies and layoffs. Tran Xuan Tien, head of Ho Chi Minh City's blockchain association, noted, "Many companies have shut down because of this crisis," while others are "downsizing and conserving capital to extend their runway."

Nguyen The Vinh, cofounder of blockchain firm Ninety Eight, reported laying off about one-third of staff since last year, with more restructuring ahead. "The market will likely remain difficult for years, not just months, so we need backup plans," he said. The government has cracked down on scams, including one allegedly defrauding US$400 million from thousands of investors, but avoided fully suppressing the industry.

Under Communist Party General-Secretary To Lam, Vietnam passed a law last year recognizing digital currencies, effective last month, and announced a five-year pilot for crypto trading. However, implementation questions and regulatory ambiguity persist, prompting firms to register in Singapore or Dubai. Huu, 24, a startup founder, said fundraising has become harder as foreign investors, once lured by 400 to 500 percent return promises, now face total loss risks. "Over the past few months, things have gone downhill badly," he added. Nearly 55 percent of individual investors reported losses last year, contributing to a gloomy mood in a market where many trade crypto.

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Bitcoin telah memasuki pasar bearish, turun lebih dari 30% dari puncak awal Oktober sekitar $126.000, setelah flash crash yang dipicu oleh perang dagang Presiden Trump yang diperbarui dengan China. Mata uang kripto tersebut menghapus $1 triliun nilai dalam enam minggu, dengan kerugian satu hari sebesar $19 miliar pada 10 Oktober karena penjualan panik dan likuidasi. Meskipun pulih sedikit menjadi sekitar $88.000 pada Senin, kekhawatiran atas keputusan suku bunga Federal Reserve dan posisi leverage terus mengganggu investor.

Cryptocurrency prices that soared to records at the start of 2025 have fallen sharply by year's end, leaving investors with significant losses. Bitcoin has declined 10% over the past year, contributing to a $1 trillion wipeout in total market value. Traders are reassessing strategies amid memories of past downturns.

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South Korean investors shifted more than 160 trillion won ($110 billion) from local crypto exchanges to foreign platforms last year, driven by restrictive domestic regulations. A joint report from Coingecko and Tiger Research highlighted this outflow, attributing it to delays in broader crypto frameworks. Officials acknowledged the need for updated rules, but disagreements over stablecoins stalled progress.

Family offices, which ramped up cryptocurrency investments in 2025, are now anxious following a $19 billion liquidation event in October that erased $1 trillion from the global market. Bitcoin's price fell 30% in the downturn, prompting comparisons to stabler assets like real estate. Despite bullish predictions from figures like Arthur Hayes, investor interest appears to be waning.

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A sharp decline in cryptocurrency prices has spotlighted Donald Trump's increasing involvement in the sector. Bitcoin dropped to 2021 levels, while Trump-linked meme coins suffered even greater losses. Questions about transparency in the Trump family's crypto dealings have intensified amid the turmoil.

Pasar mata uang kripto mengalami penurunan tajam, menghapus hampir semua keuntungan yang dibuat lebih awal pada 2025 setelah rekor tertinggi di awal Oktober. Dipicu oleh likuidasi besar-besaran dan crash kilat, nilai pasar total telah menurun sekitar 20% sejak puncak. Meskipun demikian, sektor ini tetap naik secara sederhana untuk tahun ini di tengah sinyal campuran dari aliran masuk investor dan pergeseran makroekonomi.

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Bitcoin's price rebounded modestly to around $70,000 on February 8 after a sharp drop to $60,000 earlier in the week, prompting crypto advocates to downplay the volatility as temporary. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong emphasized long-term bullishness, while skeptics like Peter Schiff celebrated the downturn. Institutional interest persists despite extreme fear in market sentiment.

 

 

 

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