A Centre for Opinion Studies poll published today shows the PSC would lose seats and might not renew its majority with ERC and Comuns.
The CEO barometer, released on July 9 2026, gives the PSC between 36 and 38 seats, down from 42. ERC would obtain 24-26 deputies and Aliança Catalana, led by Sílvia Orriols, would rise to 23-25 seats.
Junts per Catalunya would fall to 16-18 seats. PP and Vox would tie with 12-13 deputies each, while Comuns and CUP would remain at 4-5.
The sum of PSC, ERC and Comuns would range between 64 and 69 seats, so at the lower end it would not reach the absolute majority of 68. Support for independence rises to 45 %.
