Kenya Meteorological Department forecasts above-average rainfall for Nairobi and 11 regions through March 3

The Kenya Meteorological Department predicts higher-than-normal rainfall across Nairobi and 11 other regions from February 25 to March 3, 2026, with moderate to heavy rains peaking in Nairobi February 25-28. Residents should prepare for flooding, poor visibility, and lightning.

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a forecast for above-average rainfall in 12 regions, including Nairobi (Highlands East of the Rift Valley), from February 25 to March 3, 2026. Moderate to heavy rains are expected to peak in Nairobi between February 25 and 28, gradually decreasing from March 1 in southeastern lowlands, coastal areas, and eastern Rift Valley highlands.

Affected areas include Western Kenya, Lake Victoria Basin, Rift Valley, Central Highlands, parts of Eastern Kenya, and the Coast. Key counties: Migori, Nyamira, Bungoma, Busia, Kakamega, Vihiga, West Pokot, Baringo, Elgeyo Marakwet, Trans Nzoia, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Nakuru, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Kisii, Kericho, Bomet, Kiambu, Embu, Murang'a, Kirinyaga, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia, Tharaka-Nithi, Meru, Nairobi, Narok, Kajiado, Makueni, Machakos, Taita-Taveta, Kitui, Kwale, Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, and parts of Isiolo, Marsabit, Garissa.

Heavy rainfall exceeding 20mm in 24 hours may persist in Lake Victoria Basin and western Rift Valley highlands until March 3, with temperatures ranging from 12°C to 30°C.

Residents are advised to watch for flash floods, flooding in downstream areas even without local heavy rain, poor visibility, and lightning. This follows recent unpredictable rains disrupting Nairobi's daily activities.

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The National Meteorological Service issued yellow and orange alerts for storms, rain, and strong winds affecting multiple provinces from the night of Monday, March 2, to Thursday, March 5, 2026. Central and northern regions will face the most severe conditions, with gusts up to 70 km/h and precipitation exceeding 20 mm. The public is advised to take precautions against potential damage and disruptions.

Kenya's Meteorological Department has announced that Nairobi County and western Kenya regions are set to experience heavy rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms this weekend. The downpours are forecast to begin on the night of Friday, February 27, 2026, and continue through March 3. Over 40 counties have been placed on alert due to risks of flooding and impassable roads.

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Following short-term forecasts of heavy rains through early March, the Kenya Meteorological Department now predicts intensified rainfall across most regions in the first half of March 2026, tapering later, as the March-April-May (MAM) rainy season begins. Highlands east and west of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, Rift Valley, and other areas face near-average to above-average amounts, prompting NTSA warnings for slippery roads.

Maasai elders and weather experts have predicted rain in parts of Kajiado County between March and April 2026. This announcement offers hope to residents in the drought-stricken area. A traditional ritual took place on Thursday, involving the examination of a goat's intestines to forecast the weather.

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South Africa's summer rainfall areas, including Gauteng, have experienced heavy rains this season and are forecast to stay wet through late summer and early autumn. The South African Weather Service predicts above-normal rainfall in most regions from January to May, boosting dam levels but raising flood risks. While this bodes well for the summer maize crop, excessive rain could reduce yields.

The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) has warned of potential rain with varying intensities across various Indonesian regions on Tuesday, December 23, 2025. The government, through Cabinet Secretary Teddy Indra Wijaya, met with the BMKG head to discuss year-end weather forecasts and weather modification options to reduce risks of heavy rain during national holidays.

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The Kenya Wildlife Service (KWS) has closed two entry points to Tsavo East National Park due to heavy rains and flash floods. Tourists and tour operators are advised to use alternative safe gates as weather conditions persist. KWS emphasizes visitor safety as its top priority.

 

 

 

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