Fitch maintains France's debt rating at A+

Rating agency Fitch Ratings has decided to maintain France's sovereign debt rating at A+ with a stable outlook, despite ongoing budgetary challenges. This decision comes amid global instability from the war in Iran. Economy Minister Roland Lescure welcomed the announcement as recognition of the government's efforts.

On March 6, 2026, Fitch Ratings confirmed its A+ rating for France's sovereign debt, with a stable outlook, describing it as 'upper medium grade.' This expected decision occurs as the war in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade threaten global economic stability. The agency notes that France has higher per capita income and governance indicators than the A+ median, but warns of high and rising public debt, a socio-political context complicating medium-term budget consolidation, and weak growth potential.

Economy Minister Roland Lescure responded in a statement: 'It aligns with the efforts undertaken by the government under the 2026 budget to control public finances, support our economy's growth, and strengthen France's attractiveness. The government remains fully committed to continuing the reduction of the deficit and debt in a responsible and balanced framework to ensure long-term financial stability and French competitiveness.'

Fitch did not factor in the Iran war's impact, deeming it too recent and uncertain. Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Galhau stated on France Inter that the conflict could 'bring a bit more inflation and a bit less growth,' depending on its duration. The agency was the first to downgrade France's rating in September 2025, from AA to A, amid record debt exceeding 117% of GDP in Q3 2025.

Despite a 2026 budget passed through compromise between the center-right majority and the Socialist Party, the deficit fell from 5.8% to 5.4% of GDP in 2025, targeting 5% by end-2026. However, economist Anthony Morlet-Lavidalie from Rexecode believes 'we have not reached the end of our rating downgrade, but Fitch is not in a hurry.' Interest payments rose from 30 billion euros in 2020 to 65 billion in 2025 and could rise further. Decisions by Moody’s (April 10, Aa3 rating) and S&P (May 29, A+ stable) will be closely watched.

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Realistic illustration of France's credit rating downgrade by S&P to A+ amid fiscal uncertainty, featuring the Eiffel Tower and economic charts.
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S&P downgrades France's rating to A+ due to fiscal uncertainty

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Rating agency S&P Global Ratings downgraded France's sovereign rating from AA- to A+ on Friday, October 17, citing high uncertainty over public finances despite the 2026 budget proposal. The move, expected but earlier than scheduled, primarily punishes ongoing political instability. The government reaffirms its commitment to deficit reduction.

On October 24, 2025, Moody's announced it was keeping France's sovereign rating at Aa3 but downgrading the outlook from stable to negative, citing heightened risks from political instability. This contrasts with recent downgrades by Fitch and S&P to A+. The move comes as the National Assembly reviews the 2026 budget and extends the contribution on high incomes.

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Shirika la kukadiria mkopo Fitch limehakikisha rating ya nchi ya Kenya katika 'B-' na mtazamo thabiti, ikitaja malipo thabiti ya madeni na akiba ya fedha za kigeni inayokua. Hata hivyo, shirika hilo linaonya kuhusu upungufu wa mapato unaoendelea na mahitaji makubwa ya kulipa madeni ya nje.

The 2026 finance bill was passed using Article 49.3 of the Constitution, despite the Prime Minister's initial promise against it. The public deficit is projected at 5% of GDP, down from 5.4% in 2025, exceeding 150 billion euros overall. This amounts to an average of 3614 euros per one of the 41.5 million fiscal households.

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France's 2026 finance law concludes with a fragile compromise, criticized as a list of renunciations amid demographic, climate challenges and an unsustainable debt. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced on January 16 a lackluster deal, where each party claims small victories amid widespread frustration.

Following Parliament's unanimous adoption of a special finance law on December 23, 2025, to bridge funding amid failed 2026 budget talks, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu insists a compromise remains possible in January. Yet, the measure—echoing last year's—prolongs uncertainty rooted in the June 2024 National Assembly dissolution, with significant fiscal and political costs.

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The French government, facing a parliamentary deadlock on the 2026 budget, must decide on Monday between article 49.3 and an unprecedented budgetary ordinance. It is renewing the surtax on large companies' profits at 8 billion euros, while renouncing a cut to the CVAE. This aims to secure an agreement with socialists to avoid censure.

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