India's gas crisis boosts fertilizer stocks amid Middle East conflict

As Middle East tensions disrupt gas supplies to India, causing LPG shortages and price hikes, the government's Natural Gas Regulation Order, 2026, prioritizes allocations for essential sectors like fertilizers at 70% of average consumption. This has sparked a surge in fertilizer stocks, with gains up to 17%.

Disruptions from the Middle East conflict, including risks to key routes like the Strait of Hormuz, have led to gas shortages in Indian cities and sharp rises in domestic and commercial LPG prices. Industries such as fertilizers, restaurants, and manufacturing face intensified constraints.

The Indian government's Natural Gas Regulation Order, 2026, responds by prioritizing gas for critical sectors. Fertilizer plants will receive 70% of their average consumption to maintain ammonia and urea production amid uncertain LNG supplies.

Markets reacted bullishly: Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (RCF) and Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore (FACT) jumped up to 17%, while Coromandel International, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals, and Paradeep Phosphates also posted strong gains. The order is seen as securing fertilizer output, vital for agriculture.

This intervention underscores India's exposure to global energy shocks, with further measures possible as the crisis evolves.

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Indian crowds queue for scarce LPG cylinders amid crisis from Iran conflict, with closed hotels and government priority signs.
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Iran conflict deepens LPG crisis: Government escalates with Essential Commodities Act

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Building on March 5 directive to refineries, the government invoked the Essential Commodities Act on March 10, 2026, amid worsening LPG shortages from the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Commercial supplies have halted, severely impacting hotels, restaurants, and crematoriums across India, while prioritizing domestic use.

The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has ordered all oil refining companies operating in India to maximise the use of propane and butane streams for LPG production. This LPG will be supplied exclusively to domestic consumers through IndianOil, Hindustan Petroleum, and Bharat Petroleum. The directive aims to protect household users amid global fuel supply challenges arising from the ongoing conflict in West Asia.

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The closure of the Strait of Ormuz amid the US-Iran conflict has driven a 7.5% rise in global fertilizer prices over the past week, with urea surging 24%. Colombia, reliant on imports for most of these inputs, faces potential effects on its agricultural sector. Experts warn this could increase production costs for crops.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressed a public meeting in Tiruchi on March 11, 2026, stating that India will successfully navigate the energy crisis triggered by the West Asia conflict, just as it did the COVID-19 pandemic. He urged citizens to remain calm and ignore rumours. Modi emphasized the India-first ideology, assuring that the government will protect Indian interests.

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Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

Indian stock markets recorded a sharp decline on Monday due to escalating tensions in West Asia. US and Israel strikes on Iran caused crude oil prices to surge, heightening investor caution. Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, potentially disrupting global oil supplies.

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Indian defence stocks have demonstrated resilience in the face of global market volatility, surpassing the performance of the Nifty index. Investors anticipate higher defence expenditures driven by rising tensions in West Asia and India's neighbourhood. Firms focused on defensive and offensive systems are drawing notable investor attention.

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