Japanese firms increase capital spending in fourth quarter

Japan's largest companies raised capital spending in the final quarter of last year, signaling stronger corporate sentiment. The Finance Ministry reported a 4% rise in spending on goods excluding software compared to the previous quarter. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is pushing for more investment in strategic sectors.

Japan's major companies boosted capital spending in the October-to-December quarter of 2025, pointing to improved corporate confidence. According to the Finance Ministry's report on March 3, 2026, outlays on goods excluding software climbed 4% from the prior quarter, following flat spending in the summer period.

The preliminary gross domestic product report for the fourth quarter showed corporate investment growing at a more modest 0.2% pace. Non-manufacturers drove the increase with a 6.5% rise, while manufacturers slightly reduced their spending compared to the previous period.

This uptick comes as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi promotes investments in strategic sectors. Her push aims to bolster key areas of the economy, potentially supporting broader recovery trends, though further data will clarify the full impact.

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Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi delivering a speech on boosting the economy through investments in strategic fields like AI and shipbuilding.
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Takaichi vows robust economy through investments in 17 strategic areas

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Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi pledged on November 4 to boost investments in 17 strategic fields, including artificial intelligence and shipbuilding, to revitalize the economy. Her administration aims to finalize a growth plan by next summer. The strategy seeks to increase tax revenues without raising taxes through public spending.

Japan's real gross domestic product grew at an annualized rate of 0.2% in the October-December quarter of 2025, falling short of market estimates. Preliminary data from the Cabinet Office showed a 0.1% quarter-on-quarter rise, marking the first positive growth in two quarters. The full-year growth rate for 2025 reached 1.1%, the highest since 2022.

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Japan's government has revised upward its economic forecast for the fiscal year ending next March, projecting acceleration in growth the following year due to a massive stimulus package boosting consumption and capital expenditure. The latest projections, approved by the cabinet on Wednesday, expect 1.1% expansion in the current fiscal year. Growth is forecasted at 1.3% for fiscal 2026.

Japan’s exports increased 6.1% in November from a year earlier, surpassing economists’ forecast of 5.0%, according to the Finance Ministry. Shipments to the U.S. rose 8.8% and to the EU 19.6%, offsetting a decline to China. The overall trade balance showed a surplus of ¥322.3 billion.

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At a New Year event in Tokyo, Japanese business leaders expressed optimism about continuing wage increases in this year's spring labor negotiations. Many aim to match or exceed last year's average of 5.39% at major firms. Extending gains to small and midsize companies remains a key challenge.

Japan's Nikkei stock average surged to a record high of 53,814.79 shortly after trading opened on January 13, fueled by reports of a possible snap election. The rally followed Wall Street gains and a weaker yen. Finance officials hinted at potential currency intervention.

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Japan’s Nikkei share average fell for a fifth straight session as global trade frictions dampened risk sentiment, while government bonds rebounded after a sharp drop the previous day. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s call for a snap election on Monday heightened concerns over the nation’s fragile finances.

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