Illustration depicting disillusioned French voters outside the National Assembly, highlighting record-low 22% trust in politics ahead of 2026 elections.
Illustration depicting disillusioned French voters outside the National Assembly, highlighting record-low 22% trust in politics ahead of 2026 elections.
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Distrust in French politics reaches critical level

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Only 22% of French people trust politics, according to the 17th wave of the Cevipof barometer, a figure far below that of European neighbors. This disarray stems from 18 months without a majority in the National Assembly, fostering a sense of democratic inefficiency. Ahead of the March 2026 municipal elections, French voters remain committed to voting despite their doubts.

The 17th wave of the political confidence barometer, conducted by OpinionWay for Sciences Po's Center for Political Research (Cevipof) from January 12 to 28, 2026, among 3,166 voters, reveals a collapse in trust in French institutions. Only 22% of respondents express confidence in politics, compared to 45% in Germany, 44% in the UK, and 40% in Italy. Similarly, 23% believe democracy works well in France, while 76% consider voting useful but judge the democratic system to malfunction in the same proportion.

This decline has intensified following the June 2024 snap legislative elections, which left the National Assembly without a clear majority for a year and a half. Confidence in this institution falls to 20%, the lowest level since the barometer's creation in 2009, down four points from 2025 and nine from 2024. Even among executives and higher professions, it does not exceed 29%.

The French appear more distrustful and pessimistic than their European counterparts, tempted by withdrawal amid political stalemate. The barometer warns of a 'state of political anomie' that could complicate the 2027 presidential election.

In parallel, a separate study published on February 9, 2026, by Le Sens du service public, the Jean Jaurès Foundation, and Casden Banque Populaire, based on an OpinionWay poll of 2,000 people, shows strong attachment to local public services. More than 70% of French people report satisfaction with their quality in their commune, although 73% believe they lack resources. 'The expressed confidence encourages optimism,' analyzes Johan Theuret, co-founder of the Le Sens du service public collective.

These findings come two weeks before the municipal elections on March 15 and 22, where mayors remain figures of trust, as noted in a July 2025 Cevipof survey.

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X discussions on the Cevipof barometer reveal widespread frustration with the 22% trust in French politics, sharp drops for institutions and Macron's -5.7/10 satisfaction rating. Analysts highlight ongoing decline while noting higher trust in local services like mayors. Sentiments include predictions of high municipal election turnout for change, mockery of leaders, and some defenses blaming opposition machinations.

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Crowd of protesters in Paris symbolizing widespread dissatisfaction with French democracy and national decline, as revealed by the Fractures françaises survey.
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Thirteenth wave of Fractures françaises reveals heightened democratic crisis

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The thirteenth edition of the annual 'Fractures françaises' survey, conducted by Ipsos for Le Monde, highlights growing distrust in French democracy. Nearly 96% of French people say they are dissatisfied or angry about the country's situation, with 90% believing the nation is in decline. This political instability, marked by governmental crises, strengthens the sense of dysfunction.

In a tribune published in Le Monde, experts highlight that 40% of French people want to engage in civic and political life, forming an underutilized reservoir. This comes at the start of 2026, a period leading from municipal elections to the presidential vote, amid a climate of fatalism and discouragement.

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According to an Odoxa-Backbone poll for Le Figaro, French people want an increase in purchasing power (43%), a reduction in insecurity (42%), and a decrease in immigration (35%) for 2026. The year 2025 was marked by political instability cited by 47% of respondents, along with economic and security concerns. These expectations reflect a daily life poisoned by threats such as crimes, terrorism, and migration pressure.

Sébastien Lecornu's government survived two no-confidence motions in the National Assembly on Thursday, backed by the Socialist Party in exchange for suspending pension reform. The La France Insoumise motion failed by 18 votes, with 271 in favor against 289 needed. The National Rally motion garnered only 144 votes.

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A recent poll shows an erosion of Marine Le Pen's image among the French, especially RN sympathizers, who prefer Jordan Bardella for the 2027 presidency. Despite her 2025 conviction, RN ideas are gaining ground in public opinion, splitting France evenly between concerns and enthusiasm. The party retains its momentum amid judicial troubles.

One month before the Paris municipal elections on March 15 and 22, 2026, the six main candidates struggle to focus on local issues, overshadowed by national debates and controversies. Budget disputes, school scandals, and judicial affairs dominate the campaign, hindering constructive dynamics.

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The French government threatened on Friday to dissolve the National Assembly if censured, preparing early legislative elections alongside March municipal polls. This response to censure motions from RN and LFI on the Mercosur deal draws criticism from figures like François Hollande and Michel Barnier. As the 2026 budget nears debate, calls to use article 49.3 grow to avert deadlock.

 

 

 

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