Kenya loses Ksh300 million weekly due to Middle East conflict disruptions

Agriculture Cabinet Secretary Mutahi Kagwe has revealed that Kenya is losing Ksh300 million weekly due to the ongoing Middle East conflict, which has disrupted exports of products like meat and tea. The government has begun seeking alternative markets and formed a team to assess the situation.

In a press briefing on March 12, 2026, Agriculture Cabinet Secretary Mutahi Kagwe stated that the conflict between the US and Israel against Iran has disrupted Kenya's exports to the Middle East, a major market for meat and tea. "There are some products that are already starting to be impacted, for example, we send to the Middle East, about Ksh 300 million worth of meat every week," Kagwe said. Additionally, Kenya sends other food products to Iran, and uses Dubai as a distribution point for tea blended for Middle Eastern countries.

The government has assured that it has initiated the process of finding alternative markets to replace the affected ones as soon as possible. A team has been formed to assess the situation and strategize ways to cushion the agriculture sector and exports from severe economic impacts. "There are also other markets that have arisen as a result of the situation, and we believe that we will be able to cater to other markets and replace those ones that are currently in conflict," Kagwe added.

The conflict began with a US and Israel attack on strategic targets in Tehran on February 28, 2026, prompting Iranian retaliatory strikes and the closure of key trade routes and airspaces. This instability could lead to prolonged supply disruptions, driving energy prices higher and increasing costs for businesses and consumers worldwide. Global oil prices have jumped to over Ksh12,900 per barrel following the conflict, attributed to disruptions in Iran's Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the world's oil consumption passes. On March 9, crude oil prices rose by about 30 percent, Brent crude by roughly 26 percent, heating oil by 22 percent, and gasoline by around 14 percent.

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Dramatic composite image depicting Strait of Hormuz oil tanker explosion from US-Israeli strikes on Iran alongside Indian stock market crash amid surging oil prices.
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Middle East Conflict: Tuesday Market Losses Mount as Oil Surges Continue

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Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

Kenyan meat exporters are facing significant losses as the Arabian market is disrupted by the Israel-Iran war, particularly during Ramadan. Over 300 tons of meat are stuck in local storage due to suspended flights and doubled shipping costs. The situation also impacts other exports like avocados, coffee, and tea.

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The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has not directly driven up coffee prices, which remain stable amid predictions of record harvests. However, spikes in oil prices are increasing freight, energy, and fertiliser costs, posing indirect risks to the coffee industry. Escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran have led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global supply chains.

Oil prices have surged past $90 a barrel a week after the US and Israel launched major attacks on Iran, escalating into a Middle East war. The conflict has stranded oil shipments in the Persian Gulf and damaged key facilities, disrupting supplies. Consumers globally face higher gasoline and diesel costs as a result.

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US-Israeli airstrikes over the weekend killed Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, prompting Iranian retaliation across the region and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This escalation has driven oil prices above $85 per barrel, the highest since July 2024, amid concerns over disrupted energy flows. Global markets reacted with falling stocks and rising commodity prices.

The conflict in the Middle East is disrupting global logistics chains, risking longer delays for packages headed to French consumers. Tensions are particularly affecting air freight through hubs in Dubai, Doha, and Abu Dhabi. Fuel price increases are also being observed.

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The ongoing conflict with Iran has halted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, driving up global oil and gas prices. This surge is providing short-term gains for producers outside the Persian Gulf region, such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Consumers in the US and Europe are facing higher bills as a result.

 

 

 

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