Nifty tests support amid corrective market phase

India's Nifty index closed lower following sustained selling pressure, remaining above long-term averages while exhibiting short-term weakness. Technical indicators point to market consolidation with a corrective bias ahead of a cautious week. Expert Daljeet Kohli highlights potential selective rebounds driven by Q4 earnings in certain sectors.

The Nifty index has entered a corrective phase, closing lower after sustained selling, as reported in recent market analysis. It continues to hold above long-term averages but shows short-term weakness below key resistance levels. Technical indicators indicate a period of consolidation with a corrective bias, suggesting a cautious outlook for the week ahead.

Sectors display varied performance: energy, infrastructure, and financials demonstrate relative strength, while information technology, automobiles, and midcap stocks are lagging in the near term. Keywords from the analysis include Nifty weekly outlook, stock market technical analysis, India VIX, sector rotation, and relative rotation graphs, with specific mentions of Nifty Energy Index, Nifty Bank, and Nifty IT Index.

In an expert view, Daljeet Kohli of Eternal Capital advocates for strict bottom-up investing amid volatile markets, emphasizing earnings-driven stock selection. He identifies opportunities in commercial vehicle automobiles and ancillaries, such as Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland, while remaining cautious on the IT sector and microfinance. Kohli expects Q4 results to spark selective market re-rating, potentially leading to rebounds in favored areas.

This outlook underscores ongoing market consolidation and the importance of sector-specific strategies in Indian equities. Portfolio strategies should focus on fundamentals, solvency, growth, risk, and ownership to navigate volatility.

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Anxious traders at Bombay Stock Exchange watch falling Indian stocks and rising oil prices amid Middle East tensions.
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Indian stocks face ongoing pressure from Middle East tensions

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

Indian IT stocks experienced a brief rebound on Wednesday, halting a five-day losing streak. Analysts, however, caution that this uptick may not last, with persistent bearish sentiments in derivatives. The sector has been under pressure in February amid growing concerns over AI's impact on revenues.

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The Indian stock market benchmark Nifty is facing a weak outlook for the upcoming week, according to analysts. They warn of a potential decline to 24,700 and then 24,300 if the key support level at 25,100 is broken. Investors are recommended to look for selling opportunities during any upward movements.

Japan's Nikkei share average oscillated between gains and losses on Friday, weighed down by a selloff in technology stocks, as investors stayed cautious ahead of Sunday's general election. The benchmark Nikkei 225 index edged 0.1% higher to 53,881.69, positioning for a 1% weekly gain. The broader Topix rose 0.5% to 3,671.61.

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Japan's Nikkei share average edged lower on Thursday as a stronger yen weighed on exporter-heavy stocks. Chip-testing equipment maker Advantest surged 7.6% after raising its annual profit forecast, limiting the losses. A less dovish Federal Reserve also dampened market sentiment.

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened stronger by 0.12 percent at 8,631.03 on Friday morning, December 12, 2025, following a 0.92 percent drop the previous day. Analysts predict a potential rebound as the index remains above the SMA-20 line, but warn of further correction if it breaches the 8,493 support level.

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The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened up 7.80 points or 0.09 percent to 8,545.71 on Monday, December 29, 2025, fueled by market optimism ahead of the Santa Claus Rally. Investors are awaiting the release of December 2025 manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and Consumer Price Index (IHK) data. Analysts predict a potential technical rebound at the start of the new year despite the index remaining oversold.

 

 

 

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