Brokerages highlight 10 Indian largecap stocks with up to 35% upside

Several brokerages have identified 10 largecap stocks in India with significant upside potential despite rising oil prices from the US-Iran war. Crude oil has surpassed $125 per barrel, fueling inflation fears and market uncertainty. Stocks like HDFC Bank and Bharti Airtel top the lists from firms including Jefferies and Axis Direct.

The recent US-Iran war has driven crude oil prices above $125 per barrel, reigniting inflation concerns amid heightened geopolitical risks and energy cost pressures. Brokerages remain optimistic about select largecap stocks poised for meaningful returns in this environment, as noted in analyses from Axis Direct, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies. HDFC Bank leads Jefferies' top picks with a target price of Rs 1,050, implying 35% upside from current levels, supported by improved deposit growth of 14% and loan growth of 12% alongside operating synergies. ICICI Bank also features with a Rs 1,670 target for 32% upside, expecting 15% loan growth from FY27. Axis Bank has seen increased weighting due to low valuations near Covid levels and potential government support, with shares up 8% over the past year. Bharti Airtel carries a Rs 2,266 target from Axis Direct for 20% upside, driven by 5G premiumisation and strengthening free cash flow. Kotak Mahindra Bank targets Rs 500 for 30% upside, backed by double-digit credit growth in SME and retail segments. Fortis Healthcare eyes Rs 1,050 for 14% upside as margins hit 23% through FY23 to 9MFY26, aided by new bed additions. Bajaj Finance and State Bank of India also feature with 22% and 26% upside potentials respectively, while Morgan Stanley rates Maruti Suzuki overweight at Rs 17,895 for 35% upside and L&T overweight after a 21% yearly gain. (248 words)

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Illustration depicting panic at Bombay Stock Exchange as markets lose Rs 20 lakh crore amid crude oil surge to $100 from Iran conflict, with falling charts and rupee.
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Indian markets lose Rs 20 lakh crore on crude oil surge

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Crude oil prices surpassing $100 have erased Rs 20 lakh crore from Indian equity markets this week, amid escalating Iran conflict. The rupee hit a record low as foreign institutional investors continued selling, intensifying the downturn. Experts suggest the panic could present long-term buying opportunities.

Amid a more than 2% drop in the Nifty this month due to Middle East tensions and foreign investor outflows, InCred Equities has selected 11 stocks expected to perform well in the coming quarters. The recommendations come as India faces higher crude oil prices, given its import of nearly 90% of its oil needs. All stocks receive an 'Add' rating with target prices implying various upside potentials.

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Despite weakness in the broader market due to escalating Middle East tensions and hawkish US Federal Reserve signals, certain smallcap stocks in India posted strong gains of up to 41% over five sessions. Crude oil prices rose above $110 per barrel, raising inflation concerns. A selective rally highlighted top performers across various sectors.

Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

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Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are poised for a gap-down open, potentially erasing gains from last week's ceasefire rally, after US-Iran truce talks in Islamabad collapsed without resolution. Experts flag renewed West Asia tensions and volatility ahead.

JPMorgan has downgraded Indian equities to neutral from overweight. The bank warned that the Nifty index could fall to 20,500 in a bear-case scenario, implying a 15% downside from current levels. Near-term risks include elevated valuations and uncertainties from the Iran war and energy disruptions.

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Goldman Sachs’ Indian equity portfolio, managed through its global funds, dropped 36% in the fiscal year ending March 2026, shrinking from Rs 11,940 crore to Rs 7,610 crore as of March 27. While about 28 of its roughly 48 stocks declined between 10% and 60%, with five major holdings losing over 50%, one standout performer delivered 107% gains.

 

 

 

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