Crypto Winter
Analysts at Ned Davis Research predict that bitcoin might fall as low as $31,000 if the current bear market turns into a full crypto winter, based on historical patterns. The cryptocurrency has already declined 44% from its October peak and was trading around $69,180 on Friday. While past winters have seen average drops of 84%, experts note that increasing institutional involvement could moderate future declines.
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Jurien Timmer, Fidelity's director of global macro, has turned bearish on bitcoin, predicting a year-long downturn in 2026 after the cryptocurrency's recent peak. He points to historical four-year cycles aligning closely with bitcoin's October high near $125,000. In contrast, Timmer highlights gold's robust bull market performance throughout 2025.