Traders increase bets on XRP price surpassing $1.50

XRP has risen nearly 5% in the past 24 hours to $1.42, outperforming bitcoin, ethereum and solana. Prediction markets show 67% odds of it exceeding $1.50 in March. Despite the gains, over half of its supply remains at a loss.

XRP, the cryptocurrency associated with Ripple and ranked fifth by market size, traded at $1.42 after a nearly 5% increase over the last 24 hours, surpassing gains in bitcoin, ethereum and solana.

Traders have grown more optimistic, with the probability of XRP climbing above $1.50 in March reaching 67% on Tuesday, up from 50% the previous day, according to prediction markets. These event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, with probabilities sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.

The token's price remains well below $2.26, the level at the launch of its spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in November 2025. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted on social media: “The XRP ETFs have actually held up pretty well despite the massive pullback in price. They’ve taken in a cumulative $1.4 billion since launch.”

Major holders of these ETFs include Goldman Sachs with $153.8 million in exposure, Millennium Management with $23.1 million and Logan Strone Capital with $5.3 million, based on data from Bloomberg Intelligence cited by Seyffart. He added: “We only know a small portion of them [buyers/holders] because the vast majority don’t file 13Fs.”

Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reports that more than 56% of XRP’s total supply is not in profit. A senior Glassnode analyst, who uses the pseudonym CryptoVizArt on X, told Sherwood News: “My view is that crypto ETFs are primarily an access vehicle, allowing traditional financial participants to gain exposure to digital assets. They are not, in themselves, a fundamental long-term driver of demand.” The analyst continued: “At most, they can act as a short-term catalyst for market momentum, largely by amplifying speculative interest, particularly from retail investors. Beyond that, ETFs should not be seen as a mechanism that guarantees sustained long-term demand.”

Separately, Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD has approached its all-time high market capitalization of nearly $1.59 billion, up from $1.28 billion at the start of the year.

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The cryptocurrency market has staged a broad rally after days of selling pressure, with bitcoin reclaiming levels around $65,000 to $66,000. Ethereum and XRP also advanced, pushing toward $1,900 and $1.40 respectively, amid signs of technical recovery. Analysts caution that the bounce may lack fundamental drivers and face resistance ahead.

On March 4, 2026, XRP's price surged, fueling speculation of a major rally against Bitcoin. Analyst Javon Marks forecasts a 680% gain, potentially reaching $10 or even $15, amid ongoing bullish sentiment following Ripple's 2025 advancements.

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Derivatives trading for XRP on the BitMEX exchange has seen a sharp increase, with futures volume rising 1,185% in the past day amid market uncertainty. This surge coincides with a broader pullback in cryptocurrency prices, including a 2.14% drop for XRP to $1.36. Traders appear to be repositioning as they await further developments in the financial markets.

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