Traders increase bets on XRP price surpassing $1.50

XRP has risen nearly 5% in the past 24 hours to $1.42, outperforming bitcoin, ethereum and solana. Prediction markets show 67% odds of it exceeding $1.50 in March. Despite the gains, over half of its supply remains at a loss.

XRP, the cryptocurrency associated with Ripple and ranked fifth by market size, traded at $1.42 after a nearly 5% increase over the last 24 hours, surpassing gains in bitcoin, ethereum and solana.

Traders have grown more optimistic, with the probability of XRP climbing above $1.50 in March reaching 67% on Tuesday, up from 50% the previous day, according to prediction markets. These event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, with probabilities sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.

The token's price remains well below $2.26, the level at the launch of its spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in November 2025. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted on social media: “The XRP ETFs have actually held up pretty well despite the massive pullback in price. They’ve taken in a cumulative $1.4 billion since launch.”

Major holders of these ETFs include Goldman Sachs with $153.8 million in exposure, Millennium Management with $23.1 million and Logan Strone Capital with $5.3 million, based on data from Bloomberg Intelligence cited by Seyffart. He added: “We only know a small portion of them [buyers/holders] because the vast majority don’t file 13Fs.”

Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reports that more than 56% of XRP’s total supply is not in profit. A senior Glassnode analyst, who uses the pseudonym CryptoVizArt on X, told Sherwood News: “My view is that crypto ETFs are primarily an access vehicle, allowing traditional financial participants to gain exposure to digital assets. They are not, in themselves, a fundamental long-term driver of demand.” The analyst continued: “At most, they can act as a short-term catalyst for market momentum, largely by amplifying speculative interest, particularly from retail investors. Beyond that, ETFs should not be seen as a mechanism that guarantees sustained long-term demand.”

Separately, Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD has approached its all-time high market capitalization of nearly $1.59 billion, up from $1.28 billion at the start of the year.

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NYSE trading floor with screens showing XRP at $2.05 surging 8% on Grayscale ETF launch, excited traders amid bullish charts.
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XRP price surges to $2.05 amid Grayscale ETF launch

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XRP has risen more than 8% in the past 24 hours to trade around $2.05, outperforming other major altcoins as the crypto market stabilizes. The surge coincides with the upcoming debut of Grayscale's XRP ETF on the New York Stock Exchange on November 24, following SEC approval on November 21. This development follows strong performances from other recent XRP ETF launches, boosting investor optimism despite broader market slumps.

The XRP token increased by more than 4% on February 14, reaching its highest level in over a week. This rebound, which exceeds 30% from its year-to-date low, aligns with broader cryptocurrency market gains following positive US inflation data. The surge also ties to growth in Ripple's USD stablecoin after its Binance listing.

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XRP has broken through $2, becoming the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization after surpassing BNB, fueled by $13.6 million in ETF inflows. The token's rally marks a breakout from an eight-month downtrend, with traders eyeing potential gains toward $2.50. This surge reflects growing institutional confidence in XRP amid broader crypto market dynamics.

Building on the December 17 dip to $1.91 amid Bitcoin volatility, XRP traded steadily around $1.85-$1.86 on December 24, down about 1% in subdued holiday conditions. Spot ETF inflows continued strongly, clashing with profit-taking, technical resistance, and speculation from a large Ripple-linked wallet transfer.

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Following mid-December sideways consolidation around $1.95 amid crypto market uncertainty, XRP shows early recovery signs with bullish chart patterns. Trading at $1.87 on December 29, 2025—down nearly 50% from its yearly high—the token benefits from advancing fundamentals like SEC-approved ETFs, Ripple's stablecoin growth, and strategic acquisitions.

The cryptocurrency market has staged a broad rally after days of selling pressure, with bitcoin reclaiming levels around $65,000 to $66,000. Ethereum and XRP also advanced, pushing toward $1,900 and $1.40 respectively, amid signs of technical recovery. Analysts caution that the bounce may lack fundamental drivers and face resistance ahead.

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A recent analysis from The Motley Fool suggests that XRP, the cryptocurrency, could reach $3 and beyond in the near future. The article highlights three key numbers supporting this outlook. It notes that XRP previously traded above $3 in 2025.

 

 

 

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