XRP price enters Wyckoff accumulation phase as Wall Street demand wanes

The XRP token has traded in a narrow range over the past 30 days, with demand from Wall Street investors showing signs of decline. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded outflows for the first time since their launch in November, shedding over $26 million in assets this month. Despite this, technical indicators suggest the cryptocurrency may be in an accumulation phase according to the Wyckoff Theory, potentially setting the stage for a bullish breakout.

Ripple's XRP token was trading at $1.3825 on March 12, remaining within a range it has held for the past few weeks. This price level sits 63% below its peak from last year. Third-party data from SoSoValue indicates that spot XRP ETFs experienced no inflows on Wednesday and outflows over the previous four days, marking the first net outflows since the funds launched in November. These ETFs now manage $985 million in assets.

Major Wall Street firms continue to hold significant positions in XRP ETFs. Goldman Sachs leads with $154 million, followed by Millennium Management, Logan Stone Capital, Citadel, and Jain Global. However, broader demand for XRP has softened recently. CoinGecko data shows daily trading volume at $2.3 billion on March 12, down from more than $4 billion a week earlier. Futures open interest has also declined sharply, from over $10 billion last year to $2.4 billion currently, with similar weakness observed in Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) contracts.

From a technical perspective, the four-hour chart reveals XRP confined between support at $1.3160 and resistance at $1.4627 over the past few months. Volatility has decreased, as evidenced by a downward-trending Average True Range (ATR), and the price is oscillating around its 50-period and 100-period moving averages. Analysts interpret this sideways movement as characteristic of the accumulation phase in the Wyckoff Theory. While it is too early to confirm, a breakout above $1.4627 could target the February high of $1.6658.

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Illustration of XRP price pressure at $1.87 amid Q4 decline, supported by institutional ETF inflows, hinting at 2026 recovery.
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XRP ends 2025 under pressure despite strong institutional inflows

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XRP concluded 2025 with a mildly negative performance, trading near $1.87 after a 38% decline in the fourth quarter. Institutional investors provided key support through consistent inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds, which saw no net outflows since their launch. Analysts predict consolidation in early 2026, with potential for recovery if market catalysts emerge.

Following mid-December sideways consolidation around $1.95 amid crypto market uncertainty, XRP shows early recovery signs with bullish chart patterns. Trading at $1.87 on December 29, 2025—down nearly 50% from its yearly high—the token benefits from advancing fundamentals like SEC-approved ETFs, Ripple's stablecoin growth, and strategic acquisitions.

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Following sideways trading near $1.93 as of December 15, XRP fell to around $1.91 on December 17, breaching $1.92 support with a 5% drop. Bitcoin's sharp swings and institutional selling added pressure, despite ongoing ETF inflows surpassing $1 billion and new infrastructure like CME futures.

XRP has risen more than 8% in the past 24 hours to trade around $2.05, outperforming other major altcoins as the crypto market stabilizes. The surge coincides with the upcoming debut of Grayscale's XRP ETF on the New York Stock Exchange on November 24, following SEC approval on November 21. This development follows strong performances from other recent XRP ETF launches, boosting investor optimism despite broader market slumps.

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After a month of sideways trading amid uncertainty, XRP is surging on January 13, 2026, fueled by promising news that has investors speculating on a breakthrough to $5—a price never reached in over a decade.

As XRP navigates regulatory shifts and growing institutional adoption, forecasts for its 2026 price vary widely. A key SEC settlement in August 2025 clarified that XRP sold on public exchanges is not a security, boosting potential for broader use. Yet uncertainties persist, alongside tech advancements that could influence its trajectory.

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XRP has seen a 4% price drop amid the biggest spike in weekly realized losses since 2022, totaling about $1.93 billion. This capitulation signals intense panic selling, which historically has preceded market recoveries. However, ongoing macro and regulatory uncertainties may hinder a quick rebound.

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