Hong Kong economy shows resilience in Q1 2026, Paul Chan says

Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said on Sunday that the city's economy showed resilience in the first quarter of 2026 amid volatility in equity and oil markets caused by war in the Middle East. Investors continued moving assets to the city, drawn by mainland China's steady economic growth and a large number of initial public offerings in Hong Kong. He noted the geopolitical landscape was complex and fast-changing, with uncertainty from the United States-Israel attack on Iran clouding the stock market.

Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said in his Sunday review that the city's economy showed resilience in the first quarter of 2026.

Despite volatility in equity and oil markets from war in the Middle East, investors continued to increase their asset allocation in Hong Kong, according to Chan.

"Amid the uncertainty, investors are increasing their asset allocation here," he said. "They not only treat Hong Kong as a reliable haven for funds but also see the ample investment opportunities offered by Hong Kong because of the steady economic growth on the mainland and the listing of a large number of high-quality enterprises here."

Chan described the first-quarter geopolitical landscape as complex and fast-changing, with uncertainty related to the United States-Israel attack on Iran continuing to cloud the stock market.

His review did not address whether Hong Kong would meet its full-year growth forecast of between 2.5 and 3.5 per cent, which the minister predicted in his late February budget speech just before the conflict began.

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Hong Kong budget stresses long-term investments amid public criticism

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Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan unveiled the 2026 budget on Wednesday, emphasizing investments in artificial intelligence and infrastructure while facing criticism for the absence of direct cash handouts to residents. The budget projects a surplus and includes a rare transfer from the Exchange Fund.

Hong Kong's finance chief has expressed optimism about the city's economic outlook for 2026, while forecasting 2025 growth to accelerate to 3.2%, surpassing earlier projections. He attributed this positive outlook mainly to anticipated growth in mainland China and Asia, along with interest rate cuts.

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While the underperformance of Chinese equities in the last financial quarter warrants scrutiny, overall gains are likely to continue in 2026. Most Wall Street banks remain bullish on Chinese stocks, though some have turned more cautious. China's stock market saw a strong rebound in 2025, with Hong Kong emerging as Asia's top fundraising venue.

A new survey shows Hong Kong climbing back into the top five for foreign investors in commercial property, driven by interest from mainland China. Meanwhile, the luxury residential market has seen a strong recovery.

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During China's 2026 national two sessions, Hong Kong's role as the world's third-largest financial center drew attention. Australian scholar Warwick Powell discussed with Hong Kong CPPCC member Judith Yu how the city can leverage its 'super-connector' status to align with the 15th Five-Year Plan. Yu highlighted innovation, technology, and financial empowerment to boost Greater Bay Area cooperation.

As China enters the first year of its 15th Five-Year Plan, policymakers are prioritizing underlying stability and balance over mere growth rates. Recent measures include targeted fiscal support and incentives for care services. This approach aims to foster sustainable development amid global uncertainties.

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As Hong Kong's financial secretary prepares his budget speech, he should recall his initial focus on using the city's wealth to aid the needy.

 

 

 

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