Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season features several bold predictions, including an upset by the Tennessee Titans over the Houston Texans and historic receiving yards for Seattle Seahawks' Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Analysts foresee Cincinnati Bengals' Ja'Marr Chase setting a receptions record against the Pittsburgh Steelers, while the Miami Dolphins are expected to extend the Washington Commanders' losing streak. These predictions highlight potential breakout games amid ongoing team struggles and standout player performances.
The 2025 NFL season's Week 11 kicked off with the New England Patriots defeating the New York Jets 27-14 on Thursday, extending their eight-game winning streak—the longest in a season without Tom Brady and the longest active in the league. Second-year quarterback Drake Maye has thrown for 200 or more yards in every game, joining Dan Marino (1984) and Patrick Mahomes (2018) as the third sophomore with 200-plus yards in 11 straight starts to open a season; both predecessors won MVP honors.
Titans Upset Texans
The Tennessee Titans (1-8) are predicted to upset the Houston Texans (4-5) for the first home win of rookie quarterback Cam Ward's career. Ward, the No. 1 overall pick, recently posted his first turnover-free game and 250-plus yards in three of his last five outings. Despite the Texans' league-leading defense (16.7 points and 261.3 yards allowed per game) and a prior 26-0 shutout win over Tennessee in Week 4, Ward is expected to shine post-bye.
Seahawks' Smith-Njigba Makes History
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba is on pace for 1,966 receiving yards, surpassing Calvin Johnson's 2012 record of 1,964. He's the third player with 75-plus yards in his first nine games (Michael Irvin 1995, Antonio Brown 2014) and could be the first for 10 straight against the Los Angeles Rams. Only three receivers topped 100 yards versus the Rams this season: A.J. Brown (109), Travis Hunter (101), and Kendrick Bourne (142). Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with 11 catches on 18 deep targets (20-plus air yards).
Chase Sets Receptions Record
Cincinnati Bengals' Ja'Marr Chase caught a franchise-record 16 passes for 161 yards and a touchdown in a 33-31 Week 7 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite potential doubling and the Steelers' trade for safety Kyle Dugger, Chase is forecasted to haul in 12-plus receptions, breaking the single-season record of 27 catches against one opponent (shared by Jerry Rice 1994 vs. Rams and Michael Thomas 2018 vs. Buccaneers). He's one of two with double-digit catches against Pittsburgh this year, alongside Justin Jefferson's 10.
Thomas Jr. Breaks Out vs. Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars' Brian Thomas Jr. endured a sophomore slump in 2025, with no 100-yard games, one touchdown, and a 50% catch rate (second-worst among qualified receivers), averaging 52.5 yards per game versus 75.4 as a 2024 rookie (1,282 yards, 10 TDs). Against the 7-3 Los Angeles Chargers' stout pass defense (75.6 opponent passer rating, second-best), Thomas is predicted for his first 100-yard outing, aided by Trevor Lawrence's bounce-back after last year's wild-card thriller (31-30 Jaguars win despite four first-half interceptions).
Dolphins Extend Commanders' Streak
The 3-7 Washington Commanders, regressing from their 2024 NFC runner-up finish, face a fifth straight loss by 21-plus points—the longest such streak since 1970—against the 3-7 Miami Dolphins. Jayden Daniels' elbow dislocation and Terry McLaurin's seventh missed game (quadricep) compound issues. Tua Tagovailoa leads with 13 interceptions but has multi-touchdown games in two of three recently; De'Von Achane rushed for 225 scrimmage yards and two scores in Week 10, while Jaylen Waddle exceeded 80 receiving yards in his last three.