XRP surges above $2 and flips BNB in market cap ranking

XRP has broken through $2, becoming the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization after surpassing BNB, fueled by $13.6 million in ETF inflows. The token's rally marks a breakout from an eight-month downtrend, with traders eyeing potential gains toward $2.50. This surge reflects growing institutional confidence in XRP amid broader crypto market dynamics.

On January 3, 2026, XRP experienced a significant price surge, climbing 8.7% from $1.8766 to $2.0227 over the previous 24 hours. The breakout gained momentum at 17:00 UTC, when trading volume spiked to 154.4 million—142% above the session average—pushing the price decisively through the $1.96 resistance level. This flipped the prior ceiling into support, establishing a new zone between $2.01 and $2.03 that traders now view as critical to hold.

The rally propelled XRP past BNB, making it the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, behind only Bitcoin and Ethereum, according to CoinMarketCap data. This shift underscores renewed confidence in XRP following years of regulatory scrutiny. Institutional interest appears to be broadening, as evidenced by $13.6 million in inflows to XRP ETFs, per SoSoValue—though smaller than the $471 million for Bitcoin and $174 million for Ethereum products on the same day.

Technically, XRP has escaped an eight-month descending channel that began in July 2025, when the token peaked near $3.40. Analyst Steph is Crypto highlighted the weekly breakout at $2.01, suggesting a potential rise to $2.50. Standard Chartered has forecasted a 330% upside for XRP in its latest outlook.

However, the move faces tests: a late-session pullback from $2.031 to $2.023 held above $2.00 without cascading lower, but failure to maintain $2.01 could retest $1.96. Not all developments are positive; ProShares scrapped its leveraged XRP ETF plan, and CoinShares dropped its push amid demand reviews.

Traders emphasize that sustaining above $2.00 is key to validating the breakout and avoiding a return to prior ranges. This positions XRP at a pivotal moment, balancing bullish momentum with sensitivity to early-year positioning.

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Crypto market rebounds with bitcoin leading gains near $66,000

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The cryptocurrency market has staged a broad rally after days of selling pressure, with bitcoin reclaiming levels around $65,000 to $66,000. Ethereum and XRP also advanced, pushing toward $1,900 and $1.40 respectively, amid signs of technical recovery. Analysts caution that the bounce may lack fundamental drivers and face resistance ahead.

XRP has risen nearly 5% in the past 24 hours to $1.42, outperforming bitcoin, ethereum and solana. Prediction markets show 67% odds of it exceeding $1.50 in March. Despite the gains, over half of its supply remains at a loss.

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XRP rose more than 2.5 percent on May 10 to break through the $1.45 level that had capped gains for weeks. The move outpaced both bitcoin and ether and occurred alongside one of the largest volume spikes in recent sessions.

XRP has seen a 4% price drop amid the biggest spike in weekly realized losses since 2022, totaling about $1.93 billion. This capitulation signals intense panic selling, which historically has preceded market recoveries. However, ongoing macro and regulatory uncertainties may hinder a quick rebound.

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Bitcoin traded around $72,700 on Thursday, maintaining gains above $70,000 but pausing its recent breakout without pushing toward $80,000. Ether also saw modest increases of less than 1%, as investors assessed macroeconomic risks and derivatives activity. Broader market indices for major cryptocurrencies rose about 3%, while sectors like DeFi showed little movement.

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