Analysts forecast 406,000 Tesla deliveries for Q2

Wall Street analysts surveyed by multiple firms expect Tesla to deliver 406,024 vehicles in the second quarter of 2026.

The consensus figure comes from a poll of 22 banks and research houses including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and JPMorgan. It follows first-quarter deliveries of 358,023 units, a 6.3 percent rise from the same period in 2025.

Tesla is also projected to deploy 13.8 gigawatt-hours of energy storage products during the quarter. The estimates were compiled ahead of the company’s official results, which are scheduled for later this month.

The outlook aligns with a broader shift in investor attention away from quarterly vehicle counts and toward Tesla’s robotaxi and autonomous-driving initiatives.

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Tesla released its latest compiled analyst consensus showing significant long-term growth in vehicle deliveries and energy storage.

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Goldman Sachs has increased its estimate for Tesla's second-quarter vehicle deliveries, citing stronger sales in Europe and China. The bank now projects 420,000 units for the period ending June 30, up from its prior forecast of 405,000.

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