Bitcoin trades in structurally fragile range

Bitcoin is navigating a precarious market range marked by high unrealized losses and profit-taking from long-term holders. The cryptocurrency faces ongoing pressure despite holding steady for the moment. Analysts note a lack of market conviction in the current environment.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently positioned within what analysts describe as a structurally fragile range. This situation arises from significant pressures, including elevated levels of unrealized losses among holders. Additionally, there is notable realized loss realization, where investors are actively booking losses on their positions.

Long-term holders are contributing to the volatility through heavy profit-taking activities. Despite these challenges, the market has maintained a degree of stability in the short term. A recent report highlights this balance, stating, “The market is holding steady for now, but conviction remains absent.” This absence of strong investor confidence underscores the underlying weakness in the current setup.

The combination of these factors—unrealized losses, realized losses, and profit-taking—creates a delicate equilibrium for Bitcoin. While the price has not collapsed, the structural fragility suggests potential for further downside if pressures intensify. Market participants are closely monitoring these dynamics for signs of a breakout or continued consolidation.

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Dramatic scene of Bitcoin's bear market crash on trading floor screens amid US-China trade war fears, with plummeting charts and panicked investors.
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Bitcoin crashes amid trade war renewal and market fears

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Bitcoin has entered a bear market, dropping over 30% from its early October peak of around $126,000, following a flash crash triggered by President Trump's renewed trade war with China. The cryptocurrency wiped out $1 trillion in value over six weeks, with a single-day loss of $19 billion on October 10 due to panic selling and liquidations. While recovering slightly to about $88,000 on Monday, concerns over Federal Reserve rate decisions and leveraged positions continue to unsettle investors.

Despite cooling U.S. inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Bitcoin's price has remained stuck in a narrow range around the $80,000s. Traders are focusing more on real yields, liquidity conditions, and ETF flows rather than headline economic data. This shift highlights how structural factors are now dominating the cryptocurrency's price action.

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Bitcoin has declined sharply from its recent peak, dropping roughly 26% over the past three months. Despite this downturn, fresh data indicates it has held up better than nearly every other part of the cryptocurrency market. This performance highlights shifts in capital behavior during the latest market slump.

Bitcoin tumbled to a seven-month low of around $80,500 on November 21, 2025, amid a sharp market selloff that erased nearly a quarter of its value this month. The decline, the worst monthly performance since the 2022 crypto collapse, swept up ether and other assets as investors fled riskier holdings. Factors include fears of an AI bubble, strong U.S. jobs data dampening rate cut hopes, and over $2 billion in liquidations.

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Bitcoin fell below $100,000 for the first time since June on Tuesday, marking a technical bear market with a drop of more than 20% from its October all-time high. Despite the plunge, cryptocurrency experts remain optimistic about a potential recovery amid ongoing volatility. The sell-off coincides with outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and sales by long-term holders.

Bitcoin surged 4% to $106,087.54 as the global cryptocurrency market recovered, with its total capitalization rising to $3.57 trillion. The rebound follows a sharp selloff that liquidated nearly $20 billion in leveraged positions and erased half a trillion dollars from the market over a weekend. Experts view the event as a necessary correction exposing structural flaws while highlighting improved infrastructure resilience.

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Bitcoin has declined about 40% from its October peak of $126,000, entering technical bear market territory amid heavy selling pressure. The cryptocurrency rebounded slightly to around $79,000 on February 2, 2026, but remains down over 10% for the week following $2.2 billion in liquidations. Analysts point to historical support levels near $58,000 as a potential bottom.

 

 

 

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