Updating our Steelers-Dolphins coverage: Pittsburgh (7-6) enters atop the AFC North after a 27-22 thriller over Baltimore, hosting streaking Miami (6-7, six straight Ws capped by 34-10 rout of Jets) in chilly 25°F conditions on MNF—where SportsLine projects 46 total points and spots spread value amid key absences.
Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers erupted for 284 passing yards and his first rushing TD since 2022 vs. Baltimore; last season with the Jets, he lit up Miami for five TDs and 306.5 yards/game average. Pittsburgh's defense, despite poor rankings (27th in yards, pass def., 3rd downs), leads NFL with 23 takeaways (2nd overall).
Miami's rush game surges (5th in YPC, 8th YPG), with De'Von Achane eyeing 2,000 scrimmage yards and Jaylen Wright's 107 yards/TD last week. Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL with 14 INTs and is 0-8 career below 40°F. Pittsburgh is favored by 3 (-178 ML) with O/U 42.5; SportsLine's 10,000 simulations lean over while finding spread value.
DFS spotlight: Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (70+ total yards since Week 5) exploits Steelers' secondary (most opponent catches allowed). Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell ramps up (12.3 touches last four games). As noted in prior coverage, mounting injuries (Watt's lung surgery out, Peat/Pierre/Harmon sidelined, Warren active post-illness) test Pittsburgh vs. Miami's 10 T-Os and 17-or-fewer points allowed last four foes.
