Bitcoin 2026 Forecasts: Tom Lee Predicts New All-Time High by End of January

Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder Tom Lee predicts Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high by the end of January 2026, building on models estimating a 70% chance sometime this year. He foresees a volatile 2026 with challenges in the first half but a strong second-half recovery, plus major Ethereum upside.

Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors and chair of Bitmine Immersion Technologies, shared his bullish Bitcoin outlook on CNBC's Squawk Box. Bitcoin hit $126,000 in October 2025 before pulling back to close the year near $88,500. "I don’t think bitcoin has peaked yet," Lee said. "Bitcoin can hit a new all-time high by the end of January 2026."

Lee previously targeted $200,000 by end-2025, which was missed. He described 2026 as "a year of two halves": tough first half due to institutional rebalancing and market reset, setting up a massive rally later. He called Ethereum "dramatically undervalued," entering a supercycle like Bitcoin's 2017-2021 run. Bitmine recently boosted Ethereum holdings to 4.14 million units. Lee had eyed $15,000 for Ethereum by end-2025 (peaked $4,830).

Lee also projected the S&P 500 reaching 7,700 by end-2026, driven by U.S. economic strength and AI productivity gains.

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Bitcoin price chart on trading screen rebounding to $93,000 two-week high amid cheering Wall Street traders.
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Bitcoin rebounds to two-week high after recent selloff

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Bitcoin climbed to around $93,000 on December 3, 2025, marking a two-week high after a sharp decline from its October peak. The cryptocurrency's volatile swings reflect macroeconomic pressures and shifting investor sentiment. Experts predict the market's long-term resilience despite short-term fragility.

Building on earlier 2026 predictions like The Motley Fool's $250,000 target, new models project a 70% probability that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2026, surpassing its 2025 peak of $126,000 from current levels around $89,000—a 42% rise. This outlook challenges the traditional four-year halving cycle in favor of macro influences.

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Despite a downturn in 2025, analysts predict Bitcoin could surge to $250,000 by 2026. Price forecasts for the cryptocurrency remain optimistic amid market fluctuations.

Bitcoin experienced volatility on February 18, 2026, trading in a tight range before dropping to around $66,000 in the U.S. afternoon following hawkish Federal Reserve minutes. Crypto-related stocks initially rebounded but later reversed gains, while liquidations neared $200 million. Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty contributed to the market's choppy performance.

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As 2026 begins, cryptocurrency markets face uncertainty following a disappointing 2025, where Bitcoin fell 5.7% overall and 23.7% in the fourth quarter. Industry experts debate whether traditional four-year cycles still apply, pointing instead to macroeconomic factors and institutional adoption as key drivers. While risks of a deep bear market persist, some foresee structural consolidation leading to higher price floors.

On February 11, 2026, Bitcoin dropped below $66,000 for the third consecutive session, reversing a recent rally amid stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data that diminished hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, XRP, and Dogecoin also fell, signaling waning investor interest in the sector. While some on-chain indicators show accumulation by larger holders, analysts warn of potential further downside.

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On December 2, 2025, major stock indexes ended higher, driven by a rebound in technology and cryptocurrency-related shares. Bitcoin surged 4.9% to $90,658.57 after a more than 5% drop the previous day, while Ethereum approached $3,000. This recovery followed a period of steep losses amid investor caution toward risk assets.

 

 

 

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