In a recent NPR interview, Republican strategist Alex Conant discussed the party's challenges and opportunities ahead of the 2026 midterms. He highlighted the focus on economic achievements like tax cuts and strong GDP growth to counter perceptions of a struggling economy. Conant also addressed internal party fissures and the leadership vacuum following President Trump's term.
The Republican Party faces a pivotal moment as it approaches the 2026 midterm elections, according to GOP strategist Alex Conant, who spoke with NPR's Leila Fadel on Morning Edition. Conant acknowledged the party's recent congressional record, including the longest government shutdown, the fewest bills passed, and a high number of House members opting not to return. Despite these setbacks in a Republican-controlled Congress, he emphasized that the party's messaging will center on the tax cuts enacted last summer.
"Republicans argue [the tax cuts] have already had a measurable, positive impact on the economy," Conant said, pointing to recent GDP figures showing robust third-quarter growth. He expressed optimism that combined with cooling inflation—now at low levels prompting Federal Reserve interest rate cuts—and sustained low unemployment, the economy could improve public sentiment by November 2026. "If the economy is strong and people start perceiving that it is strong, Republicans should be fine in the midterms," he added.
Looking ahead, Conant addressed the potential for another government shutdown at the end of January, recalling the 40-plus-day closure last time that led Democrats to concede. He noted that both parties suffered public backlash, with over 40 to 50 members of Congress already announcing they won't return, a number that could rise if tensions escalate. On leadership, Conant predicted House Speaker Mike Johnson would retain his role, as "nobody else wants the job," amid visible divisions within the Republican conference.
As President Trump enters lame-duck status, Conant highlighted the absence of a clear successor. While Vice President JD Vance is a potential figure, he stressed that Trump's influence hasn't translated to wins in races without him on the ballot, where the GOP has lost every election over the past decade. This uncertainty underscores ongoing debates about the party's future direction and coalition.
