TD Cowen: 2026 'Golden Window' for U.S. Crypto Policy Advances

Building on 2025's regulatory milestones like stablecoin legislation and bank charters for crypto firms, a TD Cowen report identifies 2026 as a critical opportunity for deeper cryptocurrency integration under President Trump's second term. Aligned regulators, deregulation, and market momentum could enable tokenized assets and clearer rules, but swift action is needed to cement gains.

Following the 2025 breakthroughs in U.S. crypto policy—including the GENIUS Act for stablecoins, OCC national trust charters for Circle, Ripple, and now Paxos, and shifts at the SEC and CFTC—TD Cowen’s Washington Research Group describes 2026 as a rare 'golden window' for advancing digital assets.

President Trump’s administration has aligned the White House, Treasury, and regulators toward innovation-friendly oversight. The report, shared with Bitcoin Magazine, stresses finalizing initiatives in 2026 to withstand legal challenges or future political shifts.

SEC Chair Paul Atkins is expected to roll out 'innovation exemptions' in Q1 2026, enabling brokerages and crypto platforms to offer instantly settling tokenized stocks and bonds for retail investors. Best-price rules may ease for these, while traditional markets remain protected. Sustainability is rated moderate, with risks from future Democratic leadership.

Staking clarification is anticipated: fixed-return products as securities, variable as fee-based services, with bipartisan support emerging.

The Federal Reserve's proposed 'Payment Master Accounts' would give crypto firms limited access to payment rails, seen as a durable step. On Capitol Hill, the CLARITY Act advances amid stablecoin law success, though Democratic ethics demands pose hurdles.

Tokenization of real-world assets like property and medical records gains bipartisan appeal for efficiency, positioning 2026 as pivotal for embedding crypto in the financial system.

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US Senate hearing on CLARITY Act: Senators, President Trump, and crypto leaders discuss digital asset regulation amid rising charts of XRP and Stellar.
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Clarity Act gains momentum in US Senate for crypto regulation

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The CLARITY Act, aimed at providing regulatory clarity for digital assets, is advancing in Washington with hopes of passage by mid-2026. Negotiations focus on stablecoin yields, drawing involvement from President Trump and industry leaders. The bill could benefit ISO 20022-compliant coins like XRP and Stellar amid ongoing debates between banks and crypto firms.

Lawmakers are working on a compromise over stablecoin rewards to revive the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, stalled by banking disputes and President Trump's legislative priorities. On March 8, 2026, Trump elevated the unrelated SAVE America Act, freezing Senate time for other bills. The crypto industry, meanwhile, highlighted AI agents' reliance on existing infrastructure without new laws.

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The latest White House meeting between bankers and crypto experts showed progress on stablecoin yield issues, though no agreement was reached. This third session aimed to resolve a key impasse blocking the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Participants described the discussions as constructive, with more talks expected.

Following last week's stablecoin yield compromise by Senators Tillis and Alsobrooks, crypto stocks rallied and markup expectations grew for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Circle shares surged 18% amid optimism for Senate Banking Committee action the week of May 11, despite banking pushback.

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