XRP price could surge if ETFs drain exchange supply in 17 months

Investors with 1,000 to 5,000 XRP tokens may see significant profits if spot ETFs absorb the cryptocurrency's liquid supply on exchanges within 17 months. Analysts using AI models predict potential price levels from $8 to over $50 amid growing demand. This scenario draws from recent ETF inflows and exchange reserve data.

The launch of four XRP spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has driven strong demand, with $666 million in net inflows over just 11 trading days. This surpasses the $618 million seen in six Solana ETFs after 23 days, according to market data.

Brad Kimes, founder of Digital Perspectives, consulted the AI model Grok to assess XRP's liquid supply on major exchanges. As of late November 2025, centralized platforms like Binance, Upbit, Bithumb, and OKX hold an estimated 5 to 6 billion XRP in tradable reserves, representing 9% to 11% of the 56 billion circulating supply. Binance alone accounts for 2.71 billion XRP, down 300 million since early October and another 100 million following the mid-November ETF launches. Exchanges saw a one-day loss of 73 million XRP, indicating reduced sell-side pressure.

Grok analyzed inflows from November 25 to 27, averaging $26 million daily, or about 11.8 million XRP at $2.20 per token. At this rate, absorbing 5 billion XRP would take 422 days, and 6 billion would require 506 days—roughly 14 to 17 months.

To gauge price impacts, Google Gemini referenced scarcity dynamics, noting that crypto prices often rise exponentially during tight supply. It cited a 2021 Bank of America analysis where $1 in Bitcoin inflows generated $118 in market value. For XRP, Gemini outlined scenarios: $8 to $13 initially, $20 to $25 if valued like Ethereum during a bull run toward $1 trillion, and over $50 in a full liquidity vacuum.

Over 17 months, Gemini described phases: accumulation lifting XRP from $2.20 to $5 in six months, realization to $15 in months seven to twelve, and mania driving spikes to $20 to $50+.

For holders, 596,029 wallets contain 1,000 to 5,000 XRP. Currently, 1,000 XRP is worth $2,200 and 5,000 is $11,000. At $20, these become $20,000 and $100,000, yielding profits of $17,800 and $89,000. At $50, values reach $50,000 and $250,000, with gains of $47,800 and $239,000.

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