Indian Economy
Iran war's 21 days bring 21 impacts on India
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The Iran war has completed 21 days, severely affecting India's economy, fuel prices, and supplies. Crude oil prices have risen from $70-73 to $108-110 per barrel, with the rupee hitting 93.70 against the dollar. Six Indians have been killed in West Asia amid the conflict.
Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank is in “wait and watch mode” amid uncertainties from the West Asia war, with second-round effects being the real concern. In a speech at Princeton University on April 18, he stressed preventing supply shocks from embedding in price levels through inflation expectations rather than demand compression. He highlighted India’s significant exposure to the region.
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With Brent crude already past $100 due to prior Iranian attacks and Strait of Hormuz issues, escalating US-Iran tensions now raise worst-case fears of $200 per barrel oil prices. India's stock markets have plunged, hitting oil firms hardest, amid risks of wider deficits, rupee weakness, and inflation.