China’s SMIC expects flat first-quarter revenue

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), China’s largest contract chipmaker, reported a 16.2 per cent revenue increase for 2025 but expects flat first-quarter revenue as declining low-end orders offset surging demand for AI chips. Net profit rose 39 per cent to US$685.1 million, though it fell short of analyst estimates.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) reported on Tuesday that 2025 revenue increased 16.2 per cent from a year earlier to US$9.3 billion. Net profit surged 39 per cent to US$685.1 million, mainly due to increases in wafer shipments and utilisation rate, as well as changes in product mix.

However, profit for both the full year and the fourth quarter fell short of analyst estimates. The company’s Hong Kong-listed shares dropped 3 per cent to HK$69.40 on Wednesday morning, while its Shanghai-listed stock fell 1.3 per cent to 114.70 yuan.

In an earnings call on Wednesday, Zhao Haijun, co-CEO of SMIC, said the company had seen orders from smartphone vendors and makers of other lower-end products “squeezed” by strong demand for AI chips, leading to the flat revenue expectation. He added that the company was “still well positioned in the current industry development cycle” and that SMIC would proactively address urgent market demand to drive revenue growth in 2026.

Shanghai-based SMIC, which anchors Beijing’s drive for semiconductor self-reliance, shipped a total of 9.7 million wafers in 2025, up 21 per cent from 8 million a year earlier. Capacity utilisation rose by 8 percentage points year on year to 93.5 per cent.

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Illustration depicting Samsung Electronics' record Q1 operating profit of 57.2 trillion won driven by AI chip demand, featuring executives celebrating amid glowing financial displays.
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Samsung Electronics forecasts record Q1 operating profit of 57.2 trillion won

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Samsung Electronics estimated a record first-quarter operating profit of 57.2 trillion won ($37.9 billion) on Tuesday, driven by surging demand for AI chips. The figure marks a 755 percent increase from a year earlier, with sales reaching 133 trillion won for the first time exceeding 100 trillion won. The results surpassed analysts' expectations amid a booming AI sector.

A Xiaomi executive warned on an earnings call that memory prices surging 'beyond imagination' are drawing smartphone makers into a long-term price-raising cycle, after which some players may suffer significant losses or even closure. The company reported a 27 percent year-on-year drop in fourth-quarter net profit.

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South Korea's exports are projected to grow nearly 13% in Q1 2026 to around $180 billion, building on January's record performance and fueled by strong global semiconductor demand linked to the AI surge, according to the Export-Import Bank of Korea.

Super Micro Computer's stock fell more than 30% after US authorities charged employees, including a co-founder, with smuggling AI chips to China. The Department of Justice findings support the company's compliance and internal controls, with no charges against Super Micro itself. The incident involved an estimated $2.5 billion in smuggled sales, about 10% of the firm's FY25 revenue.

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China's vice minister of industry and information technology, Zhang Yunming, said at a January 22 press conference that the number of AI firms exceeded 6000 in 2025, with the core industry expected to surpass 1.2 trillion yuan. The sector highlighted how advanced manufacturing and AI-driven industries provided strong momentum for growth, boosting manufacturing value added by 5.9%.

Micron Technology, the third-largest memory and storage chip maker, is currently valued at a free cash flow yield of about 3.3% based on annualized Q1-FY26 results. The company has announced $200 billion in long-term capital plans, including a $100 billion megafab in New York state and two fabs in Idaho. This valuation reflects cyclical growth in the DRAM market, where prices fluctuate dramatically between downcycles and upcycles.

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