June quarter earnings to determine market direction, says Sunil Subramaniam

Market expert Sunil Subramaniam has advised caution for investors amid geopolitical uncertainty and rising input costs. He highlighted consumer durables, capital goods and public sector banks as preferred sectors.

Sunil Subramaniam stated that volatility is expected to remain elevated in the near term. Crude prices, Reserve Bank of India policy decisions and first-quarter earnings will shape market movements over the coming months, according to his assessment.

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Illustration of Middle East tensions causing stock market drops, oil price spikes, and investor flight to US dollar.
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Middle East conflict fuels global market volatility and oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, involving the US, Israel, and Iran, have triggered a slide in Asian shares and a surge in oil prices. Investors are turning to the US dollar for safety amid fears of prolonged energy cost increases and inflation. While emerging markets face short-term losses, experts see long-term resilience.

Top investors Ramesh Damani and Sunil Singhania say India’s fundamental growth drivers remain strong despite temporary market challenges from foreign outflows and geopolitical concerns.

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India's Nifty index closed lower following sustained selling pressure, remaining above long-term averages while exhibiting short-term weakness. Technical indicators point to market consolidation with a corrective bias ahead of a cautious week. Expert Daljeet Kohli highlights potential selective rebounds driven by Q4 earnings in certain sectors.

Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

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India's economy could face challenges from the West Asia conflict, which may impact oil prices and overall growth. According to Crisil Intelligence, real GDP growth is expected to reach 7.1 percent in FY27, driven by consumer spending and investment. Exports are anticipated to increase, while retail inflation might climb to 4.3 percent.

Indian stock markets staged a significant rebound on Wednesday, fueled by hopes for peace in West Asia and falling oil prices. The NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex climbed substantially during the day, though some gains moderated by the close. Sectoral indices ended higher across the board amid cautious investor sentiment.

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Asian equities opened higher, tracking gains in US stocks and Treasuries, as investors overlooked geopolitical tensions. Markets displayed cautious optimism despite worries over oil prices and inflation, with the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision pending. Oil prices held near $103 amid expectations of continued volatility until energy stabilizes.

 

 

 

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