Kenya meteorological department warns of heavy rains in 14 counties

The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a warning for heavy rains and potential flooding in 14 counties ahead of the new year. The rainfall is expected to start today and intensify until December 29. Residents are urged to prepare.

The Kenya Meteorological Department issued an official alert on December 26, 2025, regarding heavy rains expected across various parts of the country. The forecast indicates a 33 to 66 percent likelihood of such rainfall, which could lead to flooding.

More than 20mm of rain in 24 hours is anticipated today, December 27, in the southeastern lowlands. The intensity is projected to rise above 30mm per day, spreading to the highlands west and east of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin, and southern coastal areas on December 28 and 29.

Affected counties include Migori, Homa Bay, Kisii, Narok, Kajiado, Makueni, Machakos, Nairobi, Kericho, Bomet, southern parts of Kitui, Taita-Taveta, and Kwale. Rainfall is expected to subside starting December 30.

"Heavy rainfall of more than 20mm in 24 hours is expected in parts of the southeastern lowlands on 27th December 2025," the alert states. Other regions, such as Mombasa, Kilifi, and Lamu, will see light showers amid hot conditions, while northern counties like Marsabit and Wajir remain sunny. Strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25 knots are forecast for Marsabit.

Residents in the listed areas are advised to take precautionary measures against flooding and its impacts.

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Realistic depiction of rainy weather in Indonesian cities on New Year's Eve 2025, per BMKG forecast.
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BMKG forecasts rain across most Indonesian cities ahead of 2026

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In the latest update ahead of 2026 New Year's celebrations, Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts light to moderate rain in most major cities on Wednesday, December 31, 2025. Heavy rain with thunder is possible in areas like Pekanbaru, Bandar Lampung, and Pontianak. The National Disaster Mitigation Agency (BNPB) urges local governments to verify disaster preparedness.

Following initial warnings of heavy rains from December 27-29, the Kenya Meteorological Department forecasts moderate to heavy rainfall persisting today (December 29) and tomorrow (December 30, 2025) in 13 counties, including Nairobi. Intensity is expected to decrease tomorrow, Deputy Director Kennedy Thiong’o said.

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The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a five-day weather alert, warning of moderate to heavy rains across key regions, while also forecasting cold nights in the highlands and scorching daytime temperatures in northeastern counties starting Friday, December 12.

Following short-term forecasts of heavy rains through early March, the Kenya Meteorological Department now predicts intensified rainfall across most regions in the first half of March 2026, tapering later, as the March-April-May (MAM) rainy season begins. Highlands east and west of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, Rift Valley, and other areas face near-average to above-average amounts, prompting NTSA warnings for slippery roads.

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The Kenya Meteorological Department has forecasted above-normal rainfall in central and western regions during the March-May long rains, offering hope to farmers and pastoralists in the country's food basket areas. However, experts warn that the driest regions, such as the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands, may not fully recover from the ongoing drought with these rains alone. The government has released about Ksh6 billion to aid the hardest-hit communities.

The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) has warned of potential rain ranging from light to very heavy in several Indonesian regions on Saturday (February 14, 2026). Areas such as Jakarta and Surabaya may experience rain accompanied by lightning. The public is advised to heighten vigilance and monitor official weather updates.

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The South African Weather Service has warned of ongoing rainfall through the festive season and into the new year, urging the public to take safety measures. Forecaster Lehlohonolo Thobela highlighted risks of severe thunderstorms in several provinces during a media briefing in Pretoria.

 

 

 

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