Mexican peso hits new 2025 record against dollar

The Mexican peso appreciated 0.81% against the dollar, closing at 18.03 units on December 11, 2025, setting a new high for the year. This gain is attributed to carry trade operations bolstering the currency. Experts warn of a possible upward correction in the exchange rate.

On December 11, 2025, the Mexican peso set a new annual record against the US dollar, closing at 18.03 units after a 0.81% appreciation, or 15 centavos lower than the December 10 close. This strength is partly due to recent carry trade operations supporting the exchange rate.

Gabriela Siller, director of economic analysis at Banco Base, stated: “Oscillation indicators show that the margin for the peso to continue appreciating is limited, as it is on the verge of entering overbought levels.” She warned of a possible upward correction, especially if the market uses the level unseen since July 22, 2024, for currency hedges and advance dollar purchases.

In bank windows, such as Banamex, the dollar sold for 18.48 pesos and was bought at 17.46 units. In the bond market, the US 10-year yield was 4.10%, while Mexico's remained at 8.97%.

Among emerging market currencies, the Brazilian real led gains with 1.31%, followed by the Colombian peso (1.01%) and the Chilean peso (0.99%). In the US, markets reacted negatively to Oracle's plunge, its worst drop since 2021, due to higher spending on AI data centers.

Mexican markets will not operate on December 12 for the Virgin of Guadalupe holiday.

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Illustration depicting the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady while signaling a possible hike amid inflation.
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Fed holds rates steady but signals possible hike amid inflation

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The US Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged in the 3.50 to 3.75 percent range during its first decision under President Kevin Warsh.

The Mexican peso closed on Friday, June 5, at 17.4793 units per dollar, down 1.11%. The depreciation was attributed to a stronger dollar following better-than-expected US jobs data.

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The Mexican peso closed with a slight appreciation on July 3, while the Mexican Stock Exchange posted modest gains in a session without Wall Street operations due to the US Independence Day holiday.

The dollar closed on July 1 at an average of 3,404.29 pesos, 36.54 pesos below the TRM of 3,440.83 pesos.

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The Philippine peso fell to a new record low against the US dollar on Monday. It closed at 61.75 per dollar amid rising US Treasury yields.

The official retail dollar closed at $1,460 on Friday, June 5, while the wholesale exchange rate rose $3.50 to $1,440.

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