Country risk

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Dramatic photo illustration of Argentina's rising country risk and falling stocks amid IMF review, featuring tense traders and economic decline indicators in Buenos Aires.
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Argentina's country risk rises amid IMF review, after recent eight-year low

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Argentina's country risk rose 14 basis points on February 5, 2026, amid international tensions and the arrival of an IMF technical team for the second review of the country's credit agreement. This followed a drop below 500 points for the first time in eight years the prior week. Stocks fell up to 8% and the official dollar declined 5 pesos.

Argentina's country risk indicator, compiled by JP Morgan, closed at 504 basis points on Monday, February 9, 2026, following a recovery day for sovereign bonds. The drop was driven by gains in dollar-denominated public securities and a stable exchange environment. The Central Bank built reserves exceeding 45 billion dollars.

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Following the Central Bank's December 15 announcements on exchange rate bands and reserves, Argentina's country risk fell to an intraday low of 555 basis points on December 17—its lowest since July 2018—closing at 569 points amid market optimism.

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