The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day at AT&T Stadium, pitting Patrick Mahomes against Dak Prescott in a key matchup for both teams' playoff hopes. Kansas City enters as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5 points, while Dallas looks to extend its strong home record against the Chiefs. The game kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.
The Thanksgiving NFL slate features a marquee matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) and Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Both teams are coming off recent victories: the Chiefs edged the Indianapolis Colts 23-20 in Week 12, showcasing their ability to win without a touchdown pass from Mahomes, while the Cowboys staged a 24-21 comeback against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Key Storylines
This game marks Patrick Mahomes' first NFL start at AT&T Stadium, a homecoming for the Texas native who grew up a Cowboys fan in Tyler, about 1.5 hours away. Mahomes and the Chiefs aim to improve to 4-1 against the NFC this season, facing Dallas' No. 30-ranked pass defense. On the other side, the Cowboys have won five straight home games against Kansas City, dating back over 50 years, and boast the NFL's top offense in yards per game.
Dallas has also won three consecutive Thanksgiving games by an average margin of 16.7 points and holds a 34-22-1 all-time record on the holiday. However, Kansas City has committed six turnovers in their last four games, a stark increase from their previous 18 regular-season contests.
Injuries and Matchups
The Chiefs will be without offensive lineman Trey Smith (ankle) and tight end Noah Gray (concussion), potentially weakening their line against Dallas' resurgent defense, bolstered by recent trade acquisition Quinnen Williams. Travis Kelce leads Kansas City with 674 receiving yards and could shine in his first NFL Thanksgiving game at age 36.
For Dallas, wide receiver George Pickens has emerged as a star with 1,054 receiving yards, the second-most in the NFL, including 133 yards in the Eagles win. The Cowboys rank first in total yards and fourth in scoring.
Predictions and Viewing
SportsLine's model, simulating the game 10,000 times, leans under the 52.5 total and projects one side of the spread hitting over 50% of simulations. One expert predicts a close upset: Cowboys 27, Chiefs 24. Post Malone will perform at halftime, adding entertainment to the broadcast on CBS and Paramount+.
This contest carries playoff implications, with both teams on the outside looking in—the Chiefs as the No. 10 AFC seed and Cowboys as No. 10 NFC seed. A win could boost Kansas City's streaks toward an 11th straight playoff appearance.