Cowboys seek crucial win against Raiders in Week 11

The Dallas Cowboys, holding a 3-5-1 record, face the struggling Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season. A victory is essential for Dallas to maintain slim playoff hopes, while the Raiders aim to end a three-game skid. The Cowboys enter as 3.5-point favorites according to consensus odds.

The Dallas Cowboys are set to visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football, a matchup with significant playoff implications for the Cowboys. Currently 11th in the NFC with a 3-5-1 record, Dallas has lost three of its last four games and has yet to secure back-to-back victories this season. Recent results include a 44-24 loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 8 and a 17-17 tie against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9. The team returns from a bye week and could jump ahead of the Minnesota Vikings with a win and a Chicago Bears victory over Minnesota.

However, the Cowboys face a challenging schedule ahead, including games against the Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs, and Detroit Lions. Their offense ranks third in passing yards at 257.8 per game, fourth in scoring at 29.2 points, and fourth in total offense at 378.4 yards. Quarterback Dak Prescott leads with 2,319 passing yards (sixth in the NFL) and 17 touchdown passes (seventh). Running back Javonte Williams has eight rushing touchdowns (third) and 716 rushing yards (sixth), while wide receiver George Pickens has 764 receiving yards (fourth) and six receiving touchdowns (fourth). Tight end Jake Ferguson has six touchdown catches, and CeeDee Lamb has 491 yards in five full games.

Defensively, Dallas struggles, ranking 28th against the run (143.0 yards allowed), 29th against the pass (254.4 yards), 31st in total defense (397.4 yards), and allowing 30.8 points per game. The Raiders, under head coach Pete Carroll, have lost three straight and seven of eight since their season-opening win over the New England Patriots. Las Vegas ranks 27th in passing (185.2 yards), 29th in rushing (87.4 yards), 30th in total offense (272.7 yards), and 31st in scoring (15.4 points). Quarterback Geno Smith has 12 interceptions, tied for second in the NFL. Rookie running back Ashton Jeanty, the sixth overall pick in the 2025 draft, has 547 rushing yards (10th) and four touchdowns.

SportsLine's model simulates a 28-22 Cowboys victory, giving Dallas a current 10.7% playoff chance that improves slightly with a win but nearly vanishes with a loss. The Raiders have no postseason prospects per the model.

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