DOE says fuel supply may last until mid-May

Philippine fuel supply may last until the second week of May with one million barrels expected soon, according to the Department of Energy. Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said the average supply stood at 45 days as of March 20, down from 55-57 days when the Middle East war began nearly a month ago.

MANILA, Philippines — Energy Secretary Sharon Garin stated that the country had an average of 45 days’ fuel supply as of March 20, with specifics: LPG at 23 days, jet fuel at 38 days, diesel at 45 days, gasoline at 53 days, fuel oil at 61 days, and kerosene at 97 days, based on average daily demand from April to September 2025. This is down from 55-57 days when the Middle East war began nearly a month ago, following the United States and Israel’s attack on Iran, which has led Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of the world’s oil passes. “Kung tataas po ‘yan, iiksi po ‘yung number of days natin. Kung steady lang siya, 45 days ‘yan,” Garin said at a press conference on Tuesday, March 24, describing the supply as still “manageable” and “not yet alarming” unless it drops to 15 days. She maintained that stocks remain at a “comfortable level.” State-run Philippine National Oil Co. (PNOC) has contracted 400,000 barrels from a Southeast Asian nation and is finalizing negotiations for 600,000 more from outside the region, for a total of one million barrels costing P10 billion, enough for about five days or one week. PNOC plans to spend P20 billion on two million barrels of reserve fuel. The DOE has authorized fuel companies to purchase from PNOC if their stocks run low. The government has held “successful dialogues” with South Korea, India, Japan, and even China, while DOE and PNOC work with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Department of Trade and Industry on diplomatic channels to secure supply beyond mid-May. Garin appealed for fuel conservation by the public and private sectors and urged petroleum businesses not to profiteer. This week’s price increases: P8 to P12 per liter for gasoline (P82.60 to P102.50 pump prices), P15 to P18 for diesel (P107 to P134), and P12 to P22 for kerosene. Makati Business Club chairman Edgar Chua said the government should plan sector prioritization if shortages occur.

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Image of a gas station in the Philippines illustrating rising fuel prices amid Middle East tensions.
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Fuel prices rise in Philippines as Middle East tensions persist

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

Fuel prices will increase again on Tuesday, May 5, with diesel rising by P2.66 per liter and gasoline by P2.21 per liter, Energy Secretary Sharon Garin said. Kerosene prices will decline by P3.53 per liter.

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Fuel prices in the Philippines are expected to decline again this week, though on a smaller scale, according to Department of Energy estimates. Diesel could fall by P8 to P10 per liter, gasoline by around P0.40 per liter or rise up to P1 per liter, and kerosene by P11 per liter.

Drivers in the Philippines can expect significant fuel price rollbacks starting June 2 amid optimism over potential peace negotiations between the United States and Iran.

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Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

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