Dollar closes higher in Next Day mode due to US holiday

The Colombian dollar closed higher at $3,657.14 in Next Day mode, driven by the US Presidents' Day holiday. Meanwhile, oil prices showed minimal variations, with Brent falling 0.3% to US$67.52 per barrel and WTI to US$62.72. Trading activity was moderate due to closures for holidays in several global markets.

On Monday, February 16, 2026, the Colombian dollar recorded a higher close in Next Day mode, due to the US holiday for Presidents' Day. The currency ended at $3,657.14, an increase of $4.25 from the Representative Market Rate (TRM) of $3,652.89 for that day. During the session, it hit a low of $3,645.01 and a high of $3,669, with 135 transactions totaling US$61.8 million.

Mauricio Acevedo, strategist for currencies and derivatives at Corficolombiana, explained: "This 23% increase in the minimum has affected inflation, which will lead the Bank of the Republic to continue raising its rates to contain consumption, and if rates are higher, more portfolio resources will come to invest, so the structural decline may continue downward".

In the international context, markets in mainland China, South Korea, and Taiwan remained closed for Lunar New Year, moderating activity. Attention focused on the path of US interest rates after slower-than-expected inflation data, with operators estimating a Fed cut in July and possible change in June.

Andrea Gabellone, global equity director at KBC Securities, stated: “The outlook for equities is positive after the CPI”. He added that there could be “more dispersion in the future, as confidence around key sectors exposed to AI remains very critical”.

Regarding oil, prices varied little as investors assessed talks between the US and Iran to reduce tensions, amid potential supply increases from OPEC+. The previous week, Brent fell 0.5% and WTI 1%, after comments from President Donald Trump on a possible deal with Tehran. A second round of talks is set for Tuesday in Geneva on Iran's nuclear program.

An Iranian diplomat indicated that Iran seeks economic benefits such as investments in energy and mining, and aircraft purchases. The US has deployed a second aircraft carrier and is preparing military options if negotiations fail, according to officials. Iran's Revolutionary Guard warned of retaliation against US bases.

SEB analysts noted: "An increase in Iranian tension could take Brent to US$80 per barrel. If tension decreases, it would fall back to US$60 per barrel". OPEC+ leans toward resuming production increases from April, after a three-month pause.

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Wall Street traders celebrate stock market rally on screens showing Dow Jones and BMV surges after US-Iran truce news.
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Markets rally after US-Iran two-week truce announcement

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Wall Street and Mexico's BMV stock markets closed sharply higher on Wednesday, reacting to Tuesday's post-market announcement of a two-week truce between the US and Iran—including negotiations and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz—following President Trump's ultimatum. The Dow Jones surged 2.85%, while the BMV's IPC climbed 2.47%. The Mexican peso strengthened up to 1.9% against the dollar.

The Colombian dollar closed higher on Tuesday, reaching $3,659.85, driven by expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Meanwhile, Brent and WTI oil prices fell slightly amid tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are assessing economic data that could influence U.S. monetary policy.

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The US dollar closed higher against the Colombian peso at $3,576.10, up $2.80 from the TRM of $3,573.30. The rise followed a new government repurchase of global bonds, the third in the past year. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell amid expectations of US-Iran peace talks.

As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

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Entering its tenth day on March 9, 2026, the US-Israel-Iran war—already disrupting Middle East supplies as reported earlier—saw Brent oil spike to $120 per barrel amid Iran's 90% traffic cutoff in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump threatens escalated strikes and eases sanctions, while banks eye $150 peaks and G7 holds off on reserves.

Crude oil prices have climbed above $110 per barrel—up 20% in days and over 50% since the war began—as the US-Israel conflict with Iran persists into its second week, fueling fears of prolonged supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. Asian markets tumbled, while US President Donald Trump called the spike a 'necessary sacrifice' for security.

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Building on its 3.8% gain in the first 14 days of January, the Colombian peso has appreciated further by 4.5% over the first 22 days, maintaining its top position among emerging currencies. New international factors like Donald Trump's Greenland comments and a national pension decree bolster the trend, with the Chilean peso (3.8%) and Russian ruble (3.79%) trailing.

 

 

 

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