The Portland Trail Blazers will visit the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday night in the NBA Play-In Tournament to determine the Western Conference's No. 7 seed. Phoenix enters with a 45-37 record after a 135-103 win over Oklahoma City on Sunday, while Portland sits at 42-40 following a 122-110 victory against Sacramento. Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET at the Suns' arena in Phoenix.
The winner of this 7/8 matchup advances as the No. 7 seed to face San Antonio in the first round of the playoffs. The loser will take on the winner of the Warriors-Clippers game for the No. 8 seed. The Suns won two of their three regular-season meetings with Portland, including a low-scoring affair on February 22 that totaled just 169 points against a 222.5 over/under line. Phoenix has a 45-37 record to the under this season, the fourth-best mark in the NBA, while Portland has gone under in six of its last eight games. Betting lines list the Suns as 4.5-point favorites with a total of 217.5 points, according to DraftKings. The moneyline stands at Suns -169 and Blazers +142. SportsLine's projection model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, forecasts the under hitting in 61.1% of its Suns-Blazers simulations and leans one side of the spread in over 60% of runs. The model has a strong track record, entering the playoffs on a 23-9 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks. The game streams on Prime Video.