Bundestag election

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News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

About 76 percent of respondents are dissatisfied with the work of the black-red federal government. An Insa poll for «Bild am Sonntag» also found that 58 percent do not believe the coalition will last until 2029. The AfD leads in the polls with 28 percent.

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