An Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match and Sud Radio, published on March 19, 2026, gives Emmanuel Grégoire 46% voting intentions in Paris's second round, ahead of Rachida Dati at 44%. Sophia Chikirou gets 10%.
The opinion poll, conducted from March 17 to 19 among 1,129 registered Paris voters using quotas, was carried out partly before the televised debate on March 18 between the three finalists. It positions Emmanuel Grégoire, candidate of the united left excluding LFI, as a slight favorite against Rachida Dati of the right and center, in a very tight race three days before the municipal second round on March 22, 2026. LFI candidate Sophia Chikirou trails in third with 10% of expressed voting intentions. The poll indicates that 34% of first-round Pierre-Yves Bournazel (center-right) voters would back Grégoire, and nearly a quarter (24%) of Chikirou's voters would do the same. Grégoire won 37.98% in the first round. This poll, like any opinion study, is a snapshot without predictive value. The Paris campaign is tense, with Emmanuel Grégoire accusing Emmanuel Macron of intervening in Sarah Knafo's withdrawal—claims denied by the presidential entourage and the president himself. Marine Le Pen called to block Grégoire.
