Poll shows high dissatisfaction with federal government

About 76 percent of respondents are dissatisfied with the work of the black-red federal government. An Insa poll for «Bild am Sonntag» also found that 58 percent do not believe the coalition will last until 2029. The AfD leads in the polls with 28 percent.

The black-red federal government of CDU, CSU and SPD has been in office for almost a year. Friedrich Merz (CDU) took the oath of office as Chancellor on 6 May 2025. A representative Insa poll, conducted from 27 to 30 April 2026 among 1,207 people, shows strong dissatisfaction.

76 percent of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the government's work, only 16 percent are satisfied. 58 percent do not expect the coalition to last until the end of the electoral term in 2029, 24 percent believe it will, and 18 percent answered «don't know» or «no answer».

In Insa's «Sonntagstrend», the AfD leads with 28 percent (+7.2 since the 2025 Bundestag election), ahead of the Union with 24 percent (2025: 28.5 percent). The SPD is at 14 percent (2025: 16.4 percent), Greens at 13 percent (2025: 11.6 percent) and Die Linke at 11 percent (2025: 8.8 percent). BSW and FDP each reach 3 percent.

The institute states a statistical margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. Polls reflect the current opinion and are subject to uncertainties.

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News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

Ahead of the Baden-Württemberg state election, the Greens have gained ground in a new Insa poll, trailing the CDU by just three points. The CDU leads with 27 percent, the Greens with 24 percent. The vote is set for Sunday.

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Two days before the state election in Baden-Württemberg, polls indicate a neck-and-neck race between the Greens and the CDU. Both parties are at 28 percent, with 32 percent of respondents still undecided. The survey suggests possible shifts until election day.

The CDU held its first major federal party congress since the election in Stuttgart over the weekend. Poll numbers for Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the Union are currently poor. There is criticism within the party about Merz's leadership.

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The CDU showed great unity at its 38th federal party congress in Stuttgart, confirming Chancellor and party leader Friedrich Merz with 91.2 percent. Despite government challenges, the party avoided confrontations with coalition partner SPD. General Secretary Carsten Linnemann also received a strong result with 90.5 percent.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced at the Political Ash Wednesday in Trier his intention to seek a second term after the 2029 federal election. The 70-year-old cited his father's longevity and called for greater work ethic. The CDU is also preparing for its party congress in Stuttgart.

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In September's state elections, the AfD could enter government for the first time. The party has set up a special task force to prepare. The biggest hurdle remains finding qualified leadership personnel.

 

 

 

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