Bank Jepang
BOJ 0.75% Rate Hike: Ueda's Outlook, Market Reactions, and Bank Responses
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Following its December 19-20 policy meeting, the Bank of Japan raised its rate to 0.75%, prompting yen fluctuations, sustained high inflation, bank rate adjustments, and measured government support amid U.S. tariff concerns and shunto wage prospects.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) reported a 6% rise in net income to ¥520.6 billion ($3.3 billion) for the third quarter ended December 31, driven by higher interest rates from the Bank of Japan boosting lending income.
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Core inflation in Tokyo slowed to a 15-month low in January due to gasoline subsidies and easing food price pressures, offering some relief to consumers. Yet an underlying gauge excluding fresh food and fuel remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target, indicating continued progress toward sustainable price growth.
Bank of Japan officials are set to begin selling the central bank's exchange-traded funds as early as next month. The process, aimed at avoiding market disruptions, is expected to unfold gradually over decades. This follows a decision made at a September policy board meeting.
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The Bank of Japan’s quarterly tankan survey showed large manufacturers’ business sentiment index rising to 15 in December from 14 in September, marking a four-year high since December 2021. This improvement reinforces market expectations for a rate hike by the central bank. Nonmanufacturers’ index held steady at 34.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at a possible interest rate hike in a speech on December 1, leading to rising bond yields and a stronger yen. This triggered a decline in the Nikkei stock average. Markets now see heightened odds of a hike at the central bank's December 19 policy meeting.
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Tokyo's core consumer price index rose 2.8% year-on-year in November, unchanged from October and beating market forecasts. This development strengthens the case for a Bank of Japan rate hike by year-end. Rising food prices were the primary driver.
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