Cyclones
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has projected that two to eight tropical cyclones may develop or enter the country from January to June 2026. The forecast indicates relatively low cyclone activity in the first half of the year. This was presented by Ana Liza Solis during the 191st climate forum on Thursday.
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Human-caused climate change warmed ocean temperatures, intensifying heavy rainfall from cyclones Senyar and Ditwah in Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and Sri Lanka, leading to floods and landslides that killed over 1,600 people. A World Weather Attribution study found North Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures were 0.2°C higher than the three-decade average. The world is now 1.3°C warmer than pre-industrial levels.