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Dramatic NFL Wild Card Weekend illustration showing close playoff games and home underdog value like Panthers, Bears, Jaguars, and Steelers.
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2026 NFL Wild Card Weekend: Model simulations project close games and underdog value

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As Wild Card Weekend kicks off—building on our initial preview of the six matchups—SportsLine's model, run 10,000 times per game, favors chalk like the Rams and Eagles but sees value on home underdogs Panthers, Bears, Jaguars, and Steelers amid tight contests.

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