The New York Knicks (19-8) host the Miami Heat (15-13) on Sunday at 6 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden in their final 2025-26 regular-season matchup, with the series tied 2-1 in Miami's favor. New York is favored by 7.5 points (over/under 236) amid the Heat's injury woes.
The Knicks are rebounding from Friday's 116-107 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, which snapped a six-game winning streak (covering in five prior). They hold a strong historical edge, winning 10 of the last 14 against Miami. Jalen Brunson, fresh off NBA Cup Finals MVP honors, dominates the Heat, averaging 28.4 points, 8.0 assists, and 3.8 rebounds over his last five meetings—including 37 points on October 26. He's topped 27.5 points in four of six recent regular-season games.
Miami has slumped, dropping six of seven (1-6 ATS), averaging just 107.1 points lately versus 120.0 seasonally. Injuries cripple them: Tyler Herro (toe) and Nikola Jovic (elbow) out; Davion Mitchell (ankle) and Andrew Wiggins (back) questionable. Jaime Jaquez Jr. steps up at 15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.8 assists; Norman Powell has cooled, under 24.5 points in five straight and shooting 46% in December.
New York's No. 5-ranked defense allows 112.4 points on 45.8% opponent shooting, with only Miles McBride (ankle) sidelined. Expect the Knicks to cover, Mikal Bridges to exceed 15.5 points (hit in last two), and the under 236 (Heat 6-of-7 unders recently).
