A new POLITICO Poll conducted with the research firm Public First finds that more than a third of Donald Trump’s 2024 voters do not identify as “MAGA Republicans,” underscoring fault lines in the coalition that returned him to the White House and posing potential challenges for Republicans ahead of the 2028 race.
The latest POLITICO Poll, conducted in partnership with the research firm Public First, surveyed 2,098 U.S. adults online from Nov. 14 to 17, 2025, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. The sample was weighted by age, race, gender, geography and education level, according to Politico.
Among 2024 Trump voters, 55 percent described themselves as MAGA Republicans, while 38 percent did not, Politico reports. That means more than a third of Trump’s 2024 voters say they are not part of the MAGA wing of the party.
The survey highlights stark differences in how these groups view the economy. Among self‑described MAGA Republicans who voted for Trump in 2024, 47 percent said the current economy still “belongs fully to Biden,” compared with just 26 percent of non‑MAGA Trump voters, the poll found. On affordability — the issue Trump and his aides have repeatedly emphasized — non‑MAGA Trump voters were more likely to cite the cost of living as a top concern, at 59 percent, compared with 48 percent among MAGA Trump voters.
The divide extends to economic stewardship and party trust. On health care costs, 85 percent of MAGA Trump voters said they trusted Republicans more to bring down costs, while only 55 percent of non‑MAGA Trump voters did so; 19 percent of the non‑MAGA group instead said they trusted Democrats, and 27 percent said they did not know. When asked which party they trusted more on the economy overall, 88 percent of MAGA Trump voters backed Republicans, compared with 63 percent of non‑MAGA Trump voters, with 28 percent of the latter saying they trusted neither party or did not know.
The poll also points to weaker partisan loyalty among non‑MAGA Trump voters. On a generic congressional ballot question, 92 percent of MAGA Trump voters said they would support the Republican candidate, while that share fell to 62 percent among non‑MAGA Trump voters, the survey found.
Politico’s analysis of the results argues that these splits raise questions about whether Trump’s 2024 coalition can be replicated once he leaves the stage. The article notes that early warning signs have already appeared in recent off‑year contests, where Republicans have seen erosion among key parts of Trump’s base, including Latino voters and young men. With the 2028 presidential race and the next round of midterm elections on the horizon, Republican strategists face the challenge of holding together voters who backed Trump in 2024 but do not necessarily identify with the MAGA brand or with the party in future races.